Académica Coimbra vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
36
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
57
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Silva L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 32', 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Farias E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', 2 - 1, Pinto J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 65', Candeias D. , Cascavel ,
  • 68', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 77', Triana C. , Cuba ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Académica Coimbra
48.9%
Draw
27.9%
Lusitano GC
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 29.2% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 28.8% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Académica Coimbra - Lusitano GC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.06)
    3.3
    (3.12)
    3.96
    (3.43)
    8.9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lusitano GC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Académica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Académica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Académica Coimbra - Lusitano GC were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Lusitano GC - Académica Coimbra 0:2
    Latest results of Académica Coimbra
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    13.12.2025 Atlético CP - Lusitano GC 1:0
    07.12.2025 Lusitano GC - Belenenses 0:1
    30.11.2025 Mafra - Lusitano GC 1:1
    22.11.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 0:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Academica21013:303
    5Amarante21012:203
    6Santarem21012:203
    7Mafra21011:103
    8Trofense30121:4-31

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )