Lusitano GC vs Académica Coimbra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Lusitano GC - Académica Coimbra
Result
0:2
11/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
137
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
73
Corner Kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Santana C. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Silva L. (Pen),
  • 30', Dionisio S. M. 🟨,
  • 33', Silva G. 🟨,
  • 38', Pereira F. 🟨,
  • 45', Teixeira R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Pereira F. , Gabriel Passos ,
  • 55', Martins D. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 2, Silva L. (Pen),
  • 58', Dionisio S. M. , Sequeira G. ,
  • 58', Davou S. , Lopes D. ,
  • 64', Barbosa N. , Souza B. ,
  • 64', Carvalho E. , Gomes A. ,
  • 71', Cascavel , Triana C. ,
  • 77', Isnaba G. , Sonhi Y. ,
  • 81', Cuba , Candeias D. ,
  • 87', Montez A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lusitano GC
32%
Draw
28.3%
Académica Coimbra
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 29.1% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 28.7% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Lusitano GC - Académica Coimbra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.87)
    3.34
    (3.2)
    2.21
    (2.42)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Académica has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    04.10.2025 Lusitano GC - Amora 3:1
    28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
    21.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Serpa 1:0
    13.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
    23.08.2025 Belenenses - Lusitano GC 1:0
    Latest results of Académica Coimbra
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense742112:5714
    2Braga B73317:6112
    3Sanjoanense725010:7311
    4Varzim723210:739
    5AD Fafe72328:9-19
    6Paredes71518:718
    7AD Marco 0971513:4-18
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    9Amarante71245:10-55
    10Sao Joao Ver70434:12-84


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses74129:7213
    3Mafra73319:7212
    4Academica740310:5512
    51u00ba Dezembro62316:609
    6Santarem72234:7-38
    7Lusitano GC72148:807
    8Amora72145:8-37
    9Atletico CP62044:6-26
    10Covilha71334:8-46

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