Lusitano GC vs Covilhã – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
113
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
113
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
51
Corner Kicks
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Liberal A. , Calegari A. (A),
  • 35', Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. , Cruz F. ,
  • 45+5', Ribeiro P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Balsa C. , Tiago Caveira ,
  • 46', Davou S. , Sequeira G. ,
  • 58', Ribeiro P. , Ferreira R. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Pinto J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 61', Gomes A. , Isnaba G. ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Lopes D. , Baptista T. (A),
  • 67', Peixoto R. , Niang C. ,
  • 67', Garcia F. , Brito P. ,
  • 74', Almara F. , Soares M. ,
  • 74', Lopes D. , Andrade M. ,
  • 84', Niang C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Baptista T. , Soares Mendonca D. ,

Chances of winning


Lusitano GC
53.8%
Draw
27%
Covilhã
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 25.6% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 24.6% 17%

Lusitano GC - Covilhã Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.69
(1.61)
3.37
(3.55)
4.73
(5.13)
10%
(10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitano GC - Covilhã?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lusitano GC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Covilhã will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Lusitano GC has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Covilhã's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Covilhã may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lusitano GC is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - Covilhã were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 0:2
    28.09.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 1:1
    24.09.2023 Lusitano GC - Covilhã 0:1
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    27.12.2025 Lusitano GC - Fafe 0:1
    13.12.2025 Atlético CP - Lusitano GC 1:0
    07.12.2025 Lusitano GC - Belenenses 0:1
    30.11.2025 Mafra - Lusitano GC 1:1
    Latest results of Covilhã
    21.12.2025 Covilhã - Belenenses 0:4
    13.12.2025 Mafra - Covilhã 2:0
    30.11.2025 1 Dezembro - Covilhã 1:1
    22.11.2025 Covilhã - Lusitano GC 0:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B1885520:16429
    2Amarante1885519:17229
    3Trofense1877423:15828
    4Varzim1877426:17928
    5Paredes1869322:121027
    6Braga B1867516:17-125
    7AD Fafe1866623:21224
    8AD Marco 091847715:22-719
    9Sao Joao Ver1828811:26-1514
    10Sanjoanense1827920:32-1213


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Os Belenenses18122427:161138
    2Mafra1897228:19934
    3Academica1877429:181128
    4Santarem1867515:14125
    5Atletico CP1864816:17-122
    6Lusitano GC1864819:19022
    7Amora1856719:22-321
    8Caldas1863917:23-621
    91u00ba Dezembro1838713:21-817
    10Covilha1828810:24-1414

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