Result
2:1
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Liberal A. ⚽, Calegari A. (A),
- 35', Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
- 45+5', Ribeiro P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Balsa C. ↓, Tiago Caveira ↑,
- 46', Davou S. ↓, Sequeira G. ↑,
- 58', Ribeiro P. ↓, Ferreira R. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Pinto J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Gomes A. ↓, Isnaba G. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Lopes D. ⚽, Baptista T. (A),
- 67', Peixoto R. ↓, Niang C. ↑,
- 67', Garcia F. ↓, Brito P. ↑,
- 74', Almara F. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
- 74', Lopes D. ↓, Andrade M. ↑,
- 84', Niang C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Baptista T. ↓, Soares Mendonca D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lusitano GC
53.8% | Draw
27% | Covilhã
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lusitano GC - Covilhã Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.61) |
3.37 ↓
(3.55) |
4.73 ↓
(5.13) |
10%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitano GC - Covilhã?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lusitano GC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Covilhã will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Lusitano GC has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Covilhã's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Covilhã may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lusitano GC is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against Covilhã?
Lusitano GC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Lusitano GC?
Covilhã has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - Covilhã were as follows:
22.11.2025
Covilhã
-
Lusitano GC
0:2
28.09.2025
Covilhã
-
Lusitano GC
1:1
24.09.2023
Lusitano GC
-
Covilhã
0:1
Latest results of Lusitano GC
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 27 |
| 2 | Trofense | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22:13 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Paredes | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Braga B | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 23 |
| 5 | AD Fafe | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Varzim | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 ✔ | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver ✔ | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense ✔ | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses ✔ | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Mafra ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 | Academica | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Santarem | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Caldas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Amora | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Covilha | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
