Result
2:1
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Liberal A. ⚽, Calegari A. (A),
- 35', Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
- 45+5', Ribeiro P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Balsa C. ↓, Tiago Caveira ↑,
- 46', Davou S. ↓, Sequeira G. ↑,
- 58', Ribeiro P. ↓, Ferreira R. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Pinto J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Gomes A. ↓, Isnaba G. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Lopes D. ⚽, Baptista T. (A),
- 67', Peixoto R. ↓, Niang C. ↑,
- 67', Garcia F. ↓, Brito P. ↑,
- 74', Almara F. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
- 74', Lopes D. ↓, Andrade M. ↑,
- 84', Niang C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Baptista T. ↓, Soares Mendonca D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lusitano GC
53.8% | Draw
27% | Covilhã
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Lusitano GC - Covilhã Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.61) |
3.37 ↓
(3.55) |
4.73 ↓
(5.13) |
10%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitano GC - Covilhã?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lusitano GC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Covilhã will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Lusitano GC has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Covilhã's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Covilhã may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lusitano GC is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitano GC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lusitano GC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against Covilhã?
Lusitano GC has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Lusitano GC?
Covilhã has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitano GC - Covilhã were as follows:
22.11.2025
Covilhã
-
Lusitano GC
0:2
28.09.2025
Covilhã
-
Lusitano GC
1:1
24.09.2023
Lusitano GC
-
Covilhã
0:1
Latest results of Lusitano GC
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
