Result
1:3
14/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Tipote L. ⚽, Pinto J. (A),
- 18', Cruz F. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 20', 0 - 2, Calegari A. (Own goal),
- 25', Almara F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Barbosa A. ↓, Niang C. ↑,
- 46', Santana C. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 2, Niang C. ⚽, Calegari A. (A),
- 68', Garcia F. ↓, Gomes Silva E. ↑,
- 68', Jailson ↓, Matos S. ↑,
- 75', Tipote L. 🟨,
- 75', Tipote L. ↓, Davou S. ↑,
- 75', Baptista T. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
- 82', Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ↓, Mica ↑,
- 90', Almara F. 🟥,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+2', Liberal A. ↓, Diancoumba S. ↑,
- 90+4', Aguas M. ↓, Andrade M. ↑,
- 90+6', Lopes D. ↓, Soares M. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 3, Davou S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Covilhã
25.4% | Draw
30.5% | Lusitano GC
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Covilhã - Lusitano GC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(3.49) |
3.03 ↑
(2.95) |
2.1 ↓
(2.13) |
8.2%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lusitano GC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Lusitano GC?
Covilhã has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitano GC won against Covilhã?
Lusitano GC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Lusitano GC were as follows:
04.01.2026
Lusitano GC
-
Covilhã
2:1
22.11.2025
Covilhã
-
Lusitano GC
0:2
28.09.2025
Covilhã
-
Lusitano GC
1:1
24.09.2023
Lusitano GC
-
Covilhã
0:1
Latest results of Covilhã
Latest results of Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Amarante | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
