Result
4:1
02/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (273/359) | 75% (303/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (273/359) | 75% (303/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/76) | 29% (19/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (71/127) | 53% (63/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | -2.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 6', Kensdale O. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, Nordas L. ⚽, Nelson Z. (A),
- 19', 2 - 0, Yates J. ⚽, Bramall C. (A),
- 27', Kensdale O. ↓, Collinge D. ↑,
- 45+2', 3 - 0, Bramall C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Galvin R. ↓, Glover R. ↑,
- 61', Stead C. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 63', Yates J. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 63', Kodua G. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 72', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
- 73', Adeniran D. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
- 73', Nordas L. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
- 73', Bramall C. ↓, Lonwijk N. ↑,
- 85', Richards J. ↓, Phillips J. ↑,
- 86', Winterburn B. 🟨,
- 87', 4 - 0, Morris S. (Pen),
- 90+6', 4 - 1, Senior A. ⚽, Glover R. (A),
Chances of winning
Luton Town
63% | Draw
21.1% | Barnet
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Luton Town - Barnet Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.34) |
4.45 ↓
(4.75) |
6.08 ↓
(6.64) |
6.6%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Barnet?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Barnet will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Luton is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Barnet?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Luton Town?
Barnet has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Barnet were as follows:
Latest results of Luton Town
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Salford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Blackpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Nottingham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 4 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Barnsley | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester Utd U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bolton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Manchester City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Rotherham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Harrogate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 4 | Mansfield | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Port Vale | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Accrington | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Burton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Newport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Plymouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Tottenham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Reading | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Bromley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | 1 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crawley | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colchester | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Wycombe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Barnet | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 2 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
