Luton Town vs Barnet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Luton Town - Barnet
Result
4:1
02/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.55
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
76% (273/359)75% (303/406)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.79
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
76% (273/359)75% (303/406)
Long passes
42% (32/76)29% (19/66)
Passes in final third
56% (71/127)53% (63/118)
Crosses
22% (5/23)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.73
Throw-ins
2728
Fouls
1217
Tackles
45% (9/20)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5656
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.791.65
Goals prevented
-0.21-2.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 6', Kensdale O. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Nordas L. , Nelson Z. (A),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Yates J. , Bramall C. (A),
  • 27', Kensdale O. , Collinge D. ,
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Bramall C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Galvin R. , Glover R. ,
  • 61', Stead C. , Ndlovu L. ,
  • 63', Yates J. , Alli M. ,
  • 63', Kodua G. , Morris S. ,
  • 72', Crichlow-Noble R. , Tavares N. ,
  • 73', Adeniran D. , Ofoborh N. ,
  • 73', Nordas L. , Dabo L. ,
  • 73', Bramall C. , Lonwijk N. ,
  • 85', Richards J. , Phillips J. ,
  • 86', Winterburn B. 🟨,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Morris S. (Pen),
  • 90+6', 4 - 1, Senior A. , Glover R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
63%
Draw
21.1%
Barnet
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 19% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5% 18.7% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Luton Town - Barnet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.34)
    4.45
    (4.75)
    6.08
    (6.64)
    6.6%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Luton Town - Barnet?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Barnet will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Luton is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Barnet
    30.08.2025 Barnet - Colchester United 1:1
    23.08.2025 Cheltenham Town - Barnet 0:1
    19.08.2025 Swindon Town - Barnet 0:2
    16.08.2025 Barnet - Walsall 1:2
    09.08.2025 Bromley - Barnet 2:0
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stockport County110005:33
    2Salford110002:03
    3Wolves U21100013:50
    4Wigan100010:20


    Group 2
    PlWWLLPts
    1Blackpool110005:03
    2Tranmere101002:22
    3Nottingham U21100102:21
    4Barrow100010:50


    Group 3
    PlWWLLPts
    1Doncaster110002:13
    2Bradford City110002:13
    3Grimsby100011:20
    4Everton U21100011:20


    Group 4
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lincoln220006:06
    2Notts Co210012:43
    3Barnsley100011:20
    4Manchester Utd U21100010:30


    Group 5
    PlWWLLPts
    1Bolton220004:06
    2Manchester City U21210015:43
    3Rotherham100010:10
    4Oldham100011:50


    Group 6
    PlWWLLPts
    1Harrogate220002:06
    2Huddersfield210016:33
    3Mansfield100010:10
    4Newcastle Utd U21100012:60


    Group 7
    PlWWLLPts
    1Port Vale110004:13
    2Fleetwood101002:22
    3Accrington100102:21
    4Leeds U21100011:40


    Group 8
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crewe110007:13
    2Burton110002:03
    3Liverpool U21100010:20
    4Chesterfield100011:70


    Group 9
    PlWWLLPts
    1Arsenal U21110002:13
    2Cardiff110001:03
    3Newport100011:20
    4Exeter100010:10


    Group 10
    PlWWLLPts
    1Plymouth220008:26
    2Bristol Rovers101004:42
    3Tottenham U21200116:101
    4Cheltenham100010:20


    Group 11
    PlWWLLPts
    1Northampton110003:03
    2Walsall110003:13
    3Shrewsbury210014:43
    4Chelsea U21200021:60


    Group 12
    PlWWLLPts
    1West Ham U21210016:43
    2Reading210015:43
    3Swindon110003:23
    4MK Dons100011:50


    Group 13
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stevenage110005:13
    2AFC Wimbledon210014:63
    3Bromley101003:32
    4Crystal Palace U21200114:61


    Group 14
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crawley110004:23
    2Leyton Orient110003:13
    3Peterborough210015:53
    4Aston Villa U21200024:80


    Group 15
    PlWWLLPts
    1Gillingham110004:13
    2Colchester110002:13
    3Wycombe100011:20
    4Fulham U21100011:40


    Group 16
    PlWWLLPts
    1Luton110004:13
    2Barnet201012:52
    3Brighton U21100101:11
    4Cambridge Utd000000:00