Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kenilworth Road (Luton).

League One - Round 18
Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	LTFC+, Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.78
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	2
Passes
78% (328/420)	78% (284/366)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.18	0.48
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	2
Touches in opposition box
31	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
7	8
Passes
78% (328/420)	78% (284/366)
Long passes
41% (27/66)	33% (21/63)
Passes in final third
70% (144/206)	61% (58/95)
Crosses
17% (7/42)	50% (6/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.71	0.89
Throw-ins
36	22
Fouls
8	7
Tackles
74% (14/19)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
59	50
Clearances
21	64
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.48	0.18
Goals prevented
-0.52	-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Dempsey K. ⚽, Osei-Tutu J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Simons X. 🟨,
57', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
61', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
64', Brown J. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
70', Simons X. 🟨,
74', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
74', Dempsey K. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
79', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
80', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
82', Fanne L. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
82', Lonwijk N. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Alli M. (A),
90+1', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Luton Town
35.3%

Draw
27.3%

Bolton Wanderers
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.3%

35.4%

Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.45)	3.46 ↓ (3.62)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)	5.5% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
Luton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bolton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Bolton has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Sheehan J. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Clark J. (Inactive) Nakamba M. (Inactive) Walters R. (Groin Injury) Wells N. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bolton: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Gale T. (Inactive) McAtee J. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Luton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bolton Wanderers?

Luton Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Luton Town?

Bolton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

16.01.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town 1:2

07.01.2024 Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers 0:0

Latest results of Luton Town

25.11.2025 Luton Town - Huddersfield Town 2:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Barnsley - Luton Town 5:0 ✺

15.11.2025 Luton Town - Rotherham United 0:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Stockport County - Luton Town 0:3 ✺

31.10.2025 Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

22.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City 0:0 ✺

15.11.2025 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers Postponed ✺

11.11.2025 Oldham Athletic - Bolton Wanderers 2:6 ✺

08.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 4:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Huddersfield Town 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	17	11	2	4	31:17	14	35
2	Bradford City	18	9	7	2	26:18	8	34
3	Stevenage	16	9	4	3	19:11	8	31
4	Lincoln	18	9	4	5	23:18	5	31
5	Stockport County	17	8	5	4	23:21	2	29
6	Bolton	17	7	7	3	24:16	8	28
7	Luton	18	8	3	7	21:22	-1	27
8	Huddersfield	18	8	2	8	30:28	2	26
9	AFC Wimbledon	17	8	2	7	23:25	-2	26
10	Barnsley	15	7	4	4	26:19	7	25
11	Wigan	18	6	7	5	21:20	1	25
12	Wycombe	18	6	6	6	26:20	6	24
13	Leyton Orient	18	7	3	8	29:29	0	24
14	Rotherham	18	6	6	6	20:20	0	24
15	Northampton	17	7	2	8	16:17	-1	23
16	Mansfield	17	6	4	7	23:23	0	22
17	Reading	17	5	7	5	20:20	0	22
18	Doncaster	18	6	4	8	17:24	-7	22
19	Burton	18	6	4	8	16:24	-8	22
20	Exeter	17	5	2	10	16:18	-2	17
21	Peterborough	17	5	1	11	19:25	-6	16
22	Blackpool	18	4	4	10	17:28	-11	16
23	Plymouth	18	5	1	12	19:32	-13	16
24	Port Vale	18	3	5	10	11:21	-10	14

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two