Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kenilworth Road (Luton).

League One - Round 18
Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	LTFC+, Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.78
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	2
Passes
78% (328/420)	78% (284/366)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.18	0.48
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	2
Touches in opposition box
31	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
7	8
Passes
78% (328/420)	78% (284/366)
Long passes
41% (27/66)	33% (21/63)
Passes in final third
70% (144/206)	61% (58/95)
Crosses
17% (7/42)	50% (6/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.71	0.89
Throw-ins
36	22
Fouls
8	7
Tackles
74% (14/19)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
59	50
Clearances
21	64
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.48	0.18
Goals prevented
-0.52	-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Dempsey K. ⚽, Osei-Tutu J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Simons X. 🟨,
57', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
61', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
64', Brown J. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
70', Simons X. 🟨,
74', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
74', Dempsey K. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
79', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
80', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
82', Fanne L. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
82', Lonwijk N. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Alli M. (A),
90+1', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Luton Town
35.3%

Draw
27.3%

Bolton Wanderers
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.3%

35.4%

Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.45)	3.46 ↓ (3.62)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)	5.5% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
Luton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bolton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Bolton has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Sheehan J. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Clark J. (Inactive) Nakamba M. (Inactive) Walters R. (Groin Injury) Wells N. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bolton: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Gale T. (Inactive) McAtee J. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Luton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bolton Wanderers?

Luton Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Luton Town?

Bolton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

16.01.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town 1:2

07.01.2024 Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers 0:0

Latest results of Luton Town

25.11.2025 Luton Town - Huddersfield Town 2:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Barnsley - Luton Town 5:0 ✺

15.11.2025 Luton Town - Rotherham United 0:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Stockport County - Luton Town 0:3 ✺

31.10.2025 Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

22.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City 0:0 ✺

15.11.2025 Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers Postponed ✺

11.11.2025 Oldham Athletic - Bolton Wanderers 2:6 ✺

08.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 4:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Huddersfield Town 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	22	15	2	5	40:23	17	47
2	Lincoln	23	13	5	5	34:23	11	44
3	Bradford City	22	12	7	3	32:21	11	43
4	Stockport County	22	11	5	6	33:29	4	38
5	Huddersfield	23	11	4	8	42:31	11	37
6	Bolton	22	10	7	5	30:21	9	37
7	Stevenage	21	10	6	5	25:17	8	36
8	Luton	23	10	5	8	33:28	5	35
9	Wycombe	23	7	8	8	29:27	2	29
10	Reading	22	7	8	7	29:28	1	29
11	Mansfield	22	8	5	9	28:28	0	29
12	Wigan	22	7	8	7	25:25	0	29
13	Blackpool	23	8	5	10	29:30	-1	29
14	Peterborough	22	9	2	11	26:28	-2	29
15	Barnsley	20	8	4	8	32:32	0	28
16	Leyton Orient	23	8	4	11	34:38	-4	28
17	AFC Wimbledon	22	8	4	10	24:30	-6	28
18	Burton	22	7	6	9	23:29	-6	27
19	Northampton	22	8	3	11	22:28	-6	27
20	Exeter	22	8	2	12	22:21	1	26
21	Plymouth	23	8	2	13	28:38	-10	26
22	Rotherham	23	6	6	11	22:33	-11	24
23	Doncaster	23	6	4	13	23:40	-17	22
24	Port Vale	22	3	6	13	13:30	-17	15

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two