Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kenilworth Road (Luton).

League One - Round 18
Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	LTFC+, Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.78
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	2
Passes
78% (328/420)	78% (284/366)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.18	0.48
Total shots
13	8
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	2
Touches in opposition box
31	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
7	8
Passes
78% (328/420)	78% (284/366)
Long passes
41% (27/66)	33% (21/63)
Passes in final third
70% (144/206)	61% (58/95)
Crosses
17% (7/42)	50% (6/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.71	0.89
Throw-ins
36	22
Fouls
8	7
Tackles
74% (14/19)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
59	50
Clearances
21	64
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.48	0.18
Goals prevented
-0.52	-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Dempsey K. ⚽, Osei-Tutu J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Simons X. 🟨,
57', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
61', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
64', Brown J. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
70', Simons X. 🟨,
74', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
74', Dempsey K. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
79', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
80', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
82', Fanne L. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
82', Lonwijk N. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Alli M. (A),
90+1', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Luton Town
35.3%

Draw
27.3%

Bolton Wanderers
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.3%

35.4%

Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.45)	3.46 ↓ (3.62)	2.54 ↓ (2.59)	5.5% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 19% – 81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Luton (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
Luton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bolton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Bolton has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Sheehan J. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Clark J. (Inactive) Nakamba M. (Inactive) Walters R. (Groin Injury) Wells N. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bolton: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Gale T. (Inactive) McAtee J. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Luton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bolton Wanderers?

Luton Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Luton Town?

Bolton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:

16.01.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town 1:2

07.01.2024 Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers 0:0

Latest results of Luton Town

25.11.2025 Luton Town - Huddersfield Town 2:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Barnsley - Luton Town 5:0 ✺

15.11.2025 Luton Town - Rotherham United 0:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Stockport County - Luton Town 0:3 ✺

31.10.2025 Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

22.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Bradford City 0:0 ✺

11.11.2025 Oldham Athletic - Bolton Wanderers 2:6 ✺

08.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 4:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Huddersfield Town 2:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	26	17	4	5	45:26	19	55
2	Lincoln	26	14	7	5	42:28	14	49
3	Bradford City	25	13	7	5	35:27	8	46
4	Stockport County	26	13	6	7	37:32	5	45
5	Bolton	27	11	10	6	33:25	8	43
6	Huddersfield	27	11	6	10	46:38	8	39
7	Luton	26	11	6	9	37:32	5	39
8	Stevenage	25	10	8	7	27:23	4	38
9	Wycombe	26	9	9	8	34:29	5	36
10	Mansfield	24	10	5	9	34:28	6	35
11	Reading	25	9	8	8	33:31	2	35
12	Peterborough	26	11	2	13	33:35	-2	35
13	Exeter	25	10	3	12	28:23	5	33
14	Plymouth	26	10	3	13	33:39	-6	33
15	Barnsley	22	9	5	8	35:34	1	32
16	Leyton Orient	26	9	5	12	39:43	-4	32
17	AFC Wimbledon	25	9	4	12	27:34	-7	31
18	Wigan	25	7	9	9	26:28	-2	30
19	Burton	25	8	6	11	26:35	-9	30
20	Blackpool	26	8	5	13	32:39	-7	29
21	Northampton	25	8	5	12	23:30	-7	29
22	Doncaster	25	7	5	13	25:41	-16	26
23	Rotherham	25	6	6	13	24:38	-14	24
24	Port Vale	24	4	6	14	18:34	-16	18

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two