Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 18
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (328/420) | 78% (284/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (328/420) | 78% (284/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 33% (21/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (144/206) | 61% (58/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (7/42) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 64 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Dempsey K. ⚽, Osei-Tutu J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Simons X. 🟨,
- 57', Lonwijk N. 🟨,
- 61', Dacres-Cogley J. 🟨,
- 64', Brown J. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 70', Simons X. 🟨,
- 74', Burstow M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
- 74', Dempsey K. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
- 79', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
- 80', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
- 82', Fanne L. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
- 82', Lonwijk N. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Kodua G. ⚽, Alli M. (A),
- 90+1', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
35.3% | Draw
27.3% | Bolton Wanderers
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2%)
Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.45) |
3.46 ↓
(3.62) |
2.54 ↓
(2.59) |
5.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Bolton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Luton (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Luton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bolton is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Luton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bolton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Sheehan J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Clark J.
(Inactive)
Nakamba M.
(Inactive)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
Wells N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Erhahon E.
(Inactive)
Gale T.
(Inactive)
McAtee J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Luton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Bolton Wanderers?
Luton Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Luton Town?
Bolton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
16.01.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Luton Town
1:2
07.01.2024
Luton Town
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 50 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
