Luton Town vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 13
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLTFC+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.161.83
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
82% (410/497)63% (157/248)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.161.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.741.23
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
82% (410/497)63% (157/248)
Long passes
45% (27/60)15% (10/66)
Passes in final third
71% (112/158)51% (42/82)
Crosses
18% (4/22)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.39
Throw-ins
2832
Fouls
1212
Tackles
52% (11/21)62% (16/26)
Duels won
6557
Clearances
1536
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.231.74
Goals prevented
-0.771.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Wells N. (Pen),
  • 40', 0 - 1, Oates R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', 0 - 2, Roberts T. (Pen),
  • 60', Wells N. , Yates J. ,
  • 60', Dabo L. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 68', Roberts T. , Hendry R. ,
  • 68', Oates R. , Gardner J. ,
  • 72', Kodua G. , Bramall C. ,
  • 75', Evans W. , Bowery J. ,
  • 80', Mengi T. , Nordas L. ,
  • 84', Moriah-Welsh N. , Dickov M. ,
  • 85', Blake-Tracy F. , Sweeney R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
45.4%
Draw
29.1%
Mansfield Town
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 24.2% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 23.5% 18.5%

Luton Town - Mansfield Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.44
(1.65)
3.55
(3.87)
3.96
(4.89)
-5.5%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
    • Recent form of Luton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mansfield's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mansfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Luton has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Luton is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Calf Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Knee Injury) Cargill B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Walsh L. (Shoulder Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Flanagan F. (Injury) Hendry R. (Injury) Reed L. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
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    2025/26
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