Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 13
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (410/497) | 63% (157/248) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (410/497) | 63% (157/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 15% (10/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (112/158) | 51% (42/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 62% (16/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 1.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', Wells N. (Pen),
- 40', 0 - 1, Oates R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 2, Roberts T. (Pen),
- 60', Wells N. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
- 60', Dabo L. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 68', Roberts T. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
- 68', Oates R. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
- 72', Kodua G. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 75', Evans W. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
- 80', Mengi T. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
- 84', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 85', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, Sweeney R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
45.4% | Draw
29.1% | Mansfield Town
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luton Town's form might have worsened.Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mansfield Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mansfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luton Town - Mansfield Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(1.65) |
3.55 ↓
(3.87) |
3.96 ↓
(4.89) |
-5.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Mansfield Town?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luton Town will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
- Recent form of Luton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mansfield's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mansfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Luton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Luton is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Calf Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Knee Injury)
Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Walsh L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Flanagan F.
(Injury)
Hendry R.
(Injury)
Reed L.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Mansfield Town?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Luton Town?
Mansfield Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Mansfield Town were as follows:
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Mansfield Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
