Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia
Result
0:1
02/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.37
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
80% (461/578)69% (232/335)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.160.76
Total shots
811
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1620
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
918
Passes
80% (461/578)69% (232/335)
Long passes
36% (24/67)29% (20/69)
Passes in final third
72% (130/180)51% (59/116)
Crosses
28% (5/18)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.30
Fouls
189
Tackles
67% (12/18)45% (13/29)
Duels won
5188
Clearances Total
2734
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.760.16
Goals prevented
-0.260.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Soma Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Suzuki T. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 69', Soma Y. , Sento K. ,
  • 73', Oh Se-Hun , Kuwayama K. ,
  • 73', Mae H. , Shirasaki R. ,
  • 79', Hayashi K. 🟨,
  • 80', Usami T. , Juan Alano ,
  • 89', Shimoda H. , Fujio S. ,
  • 89', Nishimura T. , Duke M. ,
  • 89', Mito R. , Kurata S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
30.9%
Draw
30.9%
Machida Zelvia
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 30.4% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 30.7% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (3.11)
    3.03
    (3.08)
    2.46
    (2.38)
    6.8%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Gamba Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Miura G. (Knee Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    30.06.2024 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:3
    24.02.2024 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League