Result
0:1
02/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (461/578) | 69% (232/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (461/578) | 69% (232/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 29% (20/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (130/180) | 51% (59/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 45% (13/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 88 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Soma Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Suzuki T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
- 69', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 73', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
- 73', Mae H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
- 79', Hayashi K. 🟨,
- 80', Usami T. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 89', Shimoda H. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 89', Nishimura T. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 89', Mito R. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
30.9% | Draw
30.9% | Machida Zelvia
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.11) |
3.03 ↓
(3.08) |
2.46 ↑
(2.38) |
6.8%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- Gamba Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Miura G.
(Knee Injury)
Welton
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Machida Zelvia?
Gamba Osaka has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Gamba Osaka?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
30.06.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Machida Zelvia
1:3
24.02.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Gamba Osaka
1:1
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 37:24 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 5 | Machida | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 43 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 35 |
| 11 | Gamba Osaka | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Okayama | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 31 |
| 14 | Verdy | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 16:24 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 20:39 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 15:32 | -17 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 25:44 | -19 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
