Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Machida GION Stadium (Machida).

J1 League - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	1.24
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
6	8
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
78% (315/403)	78% (336/433)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05	1.24
xG on target (xGOT)
3.32	1.55
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
6	8
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked Shots
0	1
Shots inside the Box
11	12
Shots outside the Box
1	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
20	20
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
9	11
Passes
78% (315/403)	78% (336/433)
Long passes
36% (23/64)	37% (21/57)
Passes in final third
61% (83/136)	67% (82/122)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.81
Throw-ins
23	19
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
55% (6/11)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
47	54
Clearances
24	26
Interceptions
15	4
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
7	3
xGOT faced
1.55	3.32
Goals prevented
0.55	0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Shoji G. ⚽, Na Sang-Ho (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Fujio S. 🟨,
56', Okunuki K. ↓, Welton ↑,
59', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
59', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽, Welton (A),
75', Juan Alano ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Hayashi K. ⚽,
79', Mae H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
81', Fukuoka S. ↓, Kurokawa K. ↑,
82', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Nishimura T. (Pen),
90+5', Nakayama Y. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
90+5', Nishimura T. ↓, Numata T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Machida Zelvia
52.7%

Draw
26.8%

Gamba Osaka
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.9%

18.6%

Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)	3.51 ↓ (3.74)	4.6 ↓ (4.81)	6.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 17 - 63%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 44.8% – 81.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).
Machida Zelvia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Gamba Osaka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Machida Zelvia is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Soma Y. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Abe S. (Red Card) Higashiguchi M. (Health problems) Jebali I. (Yellow Cards) Yamashita R. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury) Nishimura T. (Inactive)
We predict that Machida Zelvia will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Gamba Osaka?

Machida Zelvia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Machida Zelvia?

Gamba Osaka has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka were as follows:

02.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:1

30.06.2024 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:3

24.02.2024 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 1:1

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

16.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 3:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe 2:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga 1:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kataller Toyama 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

16.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 0:3 ✺

02.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Reims 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Gamba Osaka - Montedio Yamagata 4:5 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League