Result
1:0
06/12/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (481/589) | 75% (293/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (481/589) | 75% (293/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 41% (24/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (106/149) | 59% (77/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 39 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 46', Duke M. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Okamura D. (Own goal),
- 74', Mae H. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
- 74', Hayashi K. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
- 76', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
- 76', Segawa Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 77', Nakama H. 🟨,
- 85', Konishi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
- 85', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 87', Nakamura H. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
- 90+2', Kubo T. ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
56.7% | Draw
24.9% | Machida Zelvia
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.81) |
3.76 ↑
(3.61) |
5.12 ↑
(4.28) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 39.2% – 89.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Kashiwa (1.26) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- Kashiwa is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
- Machida Zelvia is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Kashiwa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Kashiwa is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kashiwa: Nakagawa N.
(Injury)
Yamanouchi Y.
(Injury)
- We predict that Kashiwa will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Machida Zelvia?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Machida Zelvia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
17.05.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Kashiwa Reysol
3:0
19.10.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Machida Zelvia
1:1
03.05.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Machida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Verdy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Tokyo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mito | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 5 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Okayama | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
