Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol
Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.620.94
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
71% (224/315)80% (471/589)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.620.94
xG on target (xGOT)
1.940.79
Total shots
138
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
56
Passes
71% (224/315)80% (471/589)
Long passes
44% (28/63)31% (20/65)
Passes in final third
59% (88/148)61% (92/152)
Crosses
6% (1/17)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.68
Throw-ins
3528
Fouls
65
Tackles
68% (13/19)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5855
Clearances
3538
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.791.94
Goals prevented
0.79-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Hayashi K. ,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Koga T. (Own goal),
  • 35', Hayashi K. 🟨,
  • 37', Nakajima S. , Kubo T. ,
  • 37', Toshima S. , Yamada Y. ,
  • 45+2', 3 - 0, Na Sang-Ho (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nakama H. , Kakita Y. ,
  • 46', Harada W. , Inukai T. ,
  • 60', Hosoya M. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 69', Oh Se-Hun , Duke M. ,
  • 69', Na Sang-Ho , Numata T. ,
  • 80', Sento K. , Shimoda H. ,
  • 87', Nishimura T. , Takahashi D. ,
  • 87', Mae H. , Shirasaki R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
38.2%
Draw
31.4%
Kashiwa Reysol
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 30% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 30.9% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.23)
    3
    (3.14)
    3.09
    (3.4)
    6.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Machida Zelvia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kashiwa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Nakayama Y. (Concussion) Narasaka T. (Knee Injury) Soma Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia 1:1
    03.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol 2:0
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    13Verdy351191522:36-1442
    14Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare ✔ 34682029:58-2926
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 344102030:56-2622

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League