Result
0:1
14/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (643/721) | 78% (244/311) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (643/721) | 78% (244/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 31% (17/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (163/196) | 64% (62/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Harada W. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
- 29', 0 - 1, Yengi T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sugioka D. ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
- 46', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 60', Yamanouchi Y. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
- 68', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 68', Nishimura T. ↓, Erik ↑,
- 73', Baba S. 🟨,
- 78', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 78', Lavi N. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
- 78', Toshima S. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 83', Hayashi K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
48.1% | Draw
27.9% | Machida Zelvia
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(1.99) |
3.35 ↓
(3.46) |
3.92 ↑
(3.75) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2.
- Kashiwa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Machida Zelvia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Kashiwa has had a series of away games.
- Kashiwa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
Vasquez B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Lavi N.
(Injury)
Soma Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Machida Zelvia?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Machida Zelvia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
06.12.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Machida Zelvia
1:0
17.05.2025
Machida Zelvia
-
Kashiwa Reysol
3:0
19.10.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Machida Zelvia
1:1
03.05.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:0
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
