Sagan Tosu vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia
Result
2:1
03/11/2024 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, QQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
59
Free Kicks
109
Corner Kicks
39
Offsides
22
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Fouls
78
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
316445
Completed Passes
208298
Clearances Completed
4710
Crosses Completed
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Suzuki D. , Harada W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sugioka D. , Mochizuki H. ,
  • 46', Duke M. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 56', Na Sang-Ho , Fujio S. ,
  • 60', Fukuta A. , Watanabe R. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Dresevic I. ,
  • 72', Maruhashi Y. , Kitajima F. ,
  • 72', Togashi C. , Jaja ,
  • 73', Fujio S. 🟨,
  • 78', Shirasaki R. , Sento K. ,
  • 81', Suzuki D. , Terayama T. ,
  • 81', Nakahara H. , Sakaiya K. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Terayama T. ,
  • 88', Jang M. , Suzuki J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
18.4%
Draw
23.2%
Machida Zelvia
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 24.6% 54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4% 26.5% 58.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.12
    (4.55)
    4.03
    (3.86)
    1.61
    (1.75)
    6.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • Tosu is Relegated to J2 League
    • Tosu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Machida Zelvia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Tosu have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tosu: Honda F. (Knee Injury) Marcelo Ryan (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Yasui T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Araki S. (Foot Injury) Nakayama Y. (Knee Injury) Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Tosu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    30.03.2024 Machida Zelvia - Sagan Tosu 3:1
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    19.10.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Sagan Tosu 2:0
    05.10.2024 Tokyo - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    22.09.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 2:0
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto32178756:342259
    4Kashiwa Reysol321512547:331457
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale321410859:441552
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3211101149:47243
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo321171435:45-1040
    14Verdy331091421:35-1439
    15Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    16Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    17Yokohama F. Marinos32871732:43-1131
    18Yokohama FC32871721:36-1531
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League