Result
2:1
03/11/2024 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball, QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
5 | 9 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Total Passes |
---|
316 | 445 |
Completed Passes |
---|
208 | 298 |
Clearances Completed |
---|
47 | 10 |
Crosses Completed |
---|
1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Suzuki D. ⚽, Harada W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sugioka D. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
- 46', Duke M. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 56', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 60', Fukuta A. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Dresevic I. ⚽,
- 72', Maruhashi Y. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
- 72', Togashi C. ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 73', Fujio S. 🟨,
- 78', Shirasaki R. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 81', Suzuki D. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
- 81', Nakahara H. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Terayama T. ⚽,
- 88', Jang M. ↓, Suzuki J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu 18.4% | Draw 23.2% | Machida Zelvia 58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.12 ↑ (4.55) |
4.03 ↑ (3.86) |
1.61 ↓ (1.75) |
6.5% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
Machida Zelvia will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- Tosu is Relegated to J2 League
- Tosu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Machida Zelvia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Tosu have a series of guest games.
- In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Tosu: Honda F.
(Knee Injury)
Marcelo Ryan
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Yasui T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Araki S.
(Foot Injury)
Nakayama Y.
(Knee Injury)
Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Tosu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Machida Zelvia?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Sagan Tosu?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
30.03.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Sagan Tosu
3:1
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League