Result
2:1
03/11/2024 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- JAPAN: J1 League - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball, QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 316 | 445 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 208 | 298 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 47 | 10 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Suzuki D. ⚽, Harada W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Sugioka D. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
- 46', Duke M. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 56', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 60', Fukuta A. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Dresevic I. ⚽,
- 72', Maruhashi Y. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
- 72', Togashi C. ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 73', Fujio S. 🟨,
- 78', Shirasaki R. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 81', Suzuki D. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
- 81', Nakahara H. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Terayama T. ⚽,
- 88', Jang M. ↓, Suzuki J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
18.4% | Draw
23.2% | Machida Zelvia
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.12 ↑
(4.55) |
4.03 ↑
(3.86) |
1.61 ↓
(1.75) |
6.5%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
Machida Zelvia will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- Tosu is Relegated to J2 League
- Tosu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Machida Zelvia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Tosu have a series of guest games.
- In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Tosu: Honda F.
(Knee Injury)
Marcelo Ryan
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Yasui T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Araki S.
(Foot Injury)
Nakayama Y.
(Knee Injury)
Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Tosu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Machida Zelvia?
Sagan Tosu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Sagan Tosu?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
30.03.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Sagan Tosu
3:1
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38:25 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | Machida | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 30:18 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 44 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Gamba Osaka | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 | Okayama | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | Verdy | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 16:25 | -9 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:41 | -19 | 25 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16:32 | -16 | 22 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
