Sagan Tosu vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/11/2024 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, QQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
59
Free Kicks
109
Corner Kicks
39
Offsides
22
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Fouls
78
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
316445
Completed Passes
208298
Clearances Completed
4710
Crosses Completed
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Suzuki D. , Harada W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sugioka D. , Mochizuki H. ,
  • 46', Duke M. , Oh Se-Hun ,
  • 56', Na Sang-Ho , Fujio S. ,
  • 60', Fukuta A. , Watanabe R. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Dresevic I. ,
  • 72', Maruhashi Y. , Kitajima F. ,
  • 72', Togashi C. , Jaja ,
  • 73', Fujio S. 🟨,
  • 78', Shirasaki R. , Sento K. ,
  • 81', Suzuki D. , Terayama T. ,
  • 81', Nakahara H. , Sakaiya K. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Terayama T. ,
  • 88', Jang M. , Suzuki J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
18.4%
Draw
23.2%
Machida Zelvia
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 24.6% 54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4% 26.5% 58.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.12
    (4.55)
    4.03
    (3.86)
    1.61
    (1.75)
    6.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • Tosu is Relegated to J2 League
    • Tosu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Machida Zelvia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Tosu have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tosu: Honda F. (Knee Injury) Marcelo Ryan (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Yasui T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Araki S. (Foot Injury) Nakayama Y. (Knee Injury) Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Tosu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    30.03.2024 Machida Zelvia - Sagan Tosu 3:1
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    19.10.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Sagan Tosu 2:0
    05.10.2024 Tokyo - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    22.09.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 2:0
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers10802018:726
    2FC Tokyo11532119:1023
    3Machida11531217:1622
    4Verdy10330416:1515
    5Kawasaki Frontale10321416:1914
    6Urawa Reds10303414:1512
    7Mito10133313:1912
    8Kashiwa Reysol10310615:1411
    9Yokohama F. Marinos10300713:189
    10Chiba10203510:189


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe11712123:1225
    2Kyoto10421317:1217
    3Gamba Osaka10332216:1417
    4Shimizu S-Pulse11324215:1417
    5Nagoya Grampus10412317:1516
    6Cerezo Osaka10321410:1114
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima10320515:1413
    8V-Varen Nagasaki10400610:1512
    9Avispa Fukuoka10221510:1711
    10Okayama10213411:2011

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)