Leiria vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Leiria - Mafra
16/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26
  • Referee: Shirzad H. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
97
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
33
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1923
Offsides
13
Fouls
2314
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2426

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Rochez B. , Beni D. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Munoz J. (Pen),
  • 41', Sylla H. 🟨,
  • 44', dos Anjos D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', Resende J. , Singh S. ,
  • 61', Amado D. , Kouassi E. ,
  • 66', Rochez B. 🟨,
  • 66', Goncalves V. , Monteiro V. ,
  • 71', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
  • 77', Alves K. 🟥,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Munoz J. (Pen),
  • 80', Kaka , Baro M. ,
  • 80', dos Anjos D. , Mbina O. ,
  • 81', Rossi R. , Lucas Gabriel ,
  • 81', Guilherme , Iheanacho S. ,
  • 87', van der Gaag J. , Jair da Silva ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Munoz J. , Singh S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leiria
52.2%
Draw
28%
Mafra
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 27.2% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.6% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Leiria - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.82)
    3.33
    (3.44)
    4.67
    (4.35)
    7.3%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leiria - Mafra?
  • Users Predictions: Leiria will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Leiria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mafra is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Leiria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Leiria is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Mafra were as follows:
    28.10.2024 Mafra - Leiria 2:1
    02.03.2024 Leiria - Mafra 2:3
    08.10.2023 Mafra - Leiria 3:0
    Latest results of Leiria
    08.03.2025 Felgueiras - Leiria 2:2
    02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0
    22.02.2025 Marítimo - Leiria 1:2
    09.02.2025 Leiria - Porto B 0:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    09.03.2025 Mafra - Porto B 0:0
    01.03.2025 Alverca - Mafra 2:0
    22.02.2025 Mafra - Vizela 1:4
    15.02.2025 Tondela - Mafra 1:0
    09.02.2025 Mafra - Chaves 0:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

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