Leiria vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26
  • Referee: Shirzad H. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
97
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
33
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1923
Offsides
13
Fouls
2314
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2426

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Rochez B. , Beni D. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Munoz J. (Pen),
  • 41', Sylla H. 🟨,
  • 44', dos Anjos D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', Resende J. , Singh S. ,
  • 61', Amado D. , Kouassi E. ,
  • 66', Rochez B. 🟨,
  • 66', Goncalves V. , Monteiro V. ,
  • 71', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
  • 77', Alves K. 🟥,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Munoz J. (Pen),
  • 80', Kaka , Baro M. ,
  • 80', dos Anjos D. , Mbina O. ,
  • 81', Rossi R. , Lucas Gabriel ,
  • 81', Guilherme , Iheanacho S. ,
  • 87', van der Gaag J. , Jair da Silva ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Munoz J. , Singh S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leiria
52.2%
Draw
28%
Mafra
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 27.2% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.6% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Leiria - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.82)
    3.33
    (3.44)
    4.67
    (4.35)
    7.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leiria - Mafra?
  • Users Predictions: Leiria will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Leiria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mafra is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Leiria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Leiria is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Mafra were as follows:
    28.10.2024 Mafra - Leiria 2:1
    02.03.2024 Leiria - Mafra 2:3
    08.10.2023 Mafra - Leiria 3:0
    Latest results of Leiria
    08.03.2025 Felgueiras - Leiria 2:2
    02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0
    22.02.2025 Marítimo - Leiria 1:2
    09.02.2025 Leiria - Porto B 0:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    09.03.2025 Mafra - Porto B 0:0
    01.03.2025 Alverca - Mafra 2:0
    22.02.2025 Mafra - Vizela 1:4
    15.02.2025 Tondela - Mafra 1:0
    09.02.2025 Mafra - Chaves 0:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo32206649:252466
    2Academico Viseu32167956:332355
    3Torreense321651140:32853
    4Leiria321310950:43749
    5Vizela321391038:36248
    6Feirense321291134:36-245
    7FC Porto B321361338:42-445
    8Benfica B3211111043:40344
    9Leixoes321351442:53-1144
    10Lusitania FC3211101142:48-643
    11Chaves321261438:37142
    12Sporting CP B321321741:33841
    13Felgueiras3210101228:36-840
    14SC Farense321091330:35-539
    15Penafiel321081435:37-238
    16Portimonense321061637:48-1136
    17Pacos Ferreira328111331:46-1535
    18Oliveirense327101531:43-1231

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