Leiria vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26
  • Referee: Shirzad H. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
97
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
33
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1923
Offsides
13
Fouls
2314
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2426

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Rochez B. , Beni D. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Munoz J. (Pen),
  • 41', Sylla H. 🟨,
  • 44', dos Anjos D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', Resende J. , Singh S. ,
  • 61', Amado D. , Kouassi E. ,
  • 66', Rochez B. 🟨,
  • 66', Goncalves V. , Monteiro V. ,
  • 71', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
  • 77', Alves K. 🟥,
  • 79', 2 - 1, Munoz J. (Pen),
  • 80', Kaka , Baro M. ,
  • 80', dos Anjos D. , Mbina O. ,
  • 81', Rossi R. , Lucas Gabriel ,
  • 81', Guilherme , Iheanacho S. ,
  • 87', van der Gaag J. , Jair da Silva ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Munoz J. , Singh S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leiria
52.2%
Draw
28%
Mafra
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 27.2% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.6% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Leiria - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.82)
    3.33
    (3.44)
    4.67
    (4.35)
    7.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leiria - Mafra?
  • Users Predictions: Leiria will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • Leiria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mafra is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Leiria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Leiria is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Mafra were as follows:
    28.10.2024 Mafra - Leiria 2:1
    02.03.2024 Leiria - Mafra 2:3
    08.10.2023 Mafra - Leiria 3:0
    Latest results of Leiria
    08.03.2025 Felgueiras - Leiria 2:2
    02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0
    22.02.2025 Marítimo - Leiria 1:2
    09.02.2025 Leiria - Porto B 0:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    09.03.2025 Mafra - Porto B 0:0
    01.03.2025 Alverca - Mafra 2:0
    22.02.2025 Mafra - Vizela 1:4
    15.02.2025 Tondela - Mafra 1:0
    09.02.2025 Mafra - Chaves 0:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6FC Porto B291261137:36142
    7Benfica B291011841:35641
    8Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC291091038:45-739
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

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