Result
1:2
08/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Nogueira M. ⚽, Rodrigo Silva (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Oliveira A. 🟥,
- 57', Opara E. ↓, Rika ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Andrey ⚽,
- 64', Ninte M. ↓, Fati E. ↑,
- 66', Rossi R. 🟨,
- 69', Rika 🟨,
- 77', Verdi S. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
- 77', Tepe M. ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
- 88', Matos R. ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
- 90', Sambu B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zeega 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Nogueira M. ⚽,
- 90+9', Nogueira M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mafra
41% | Draw
29.4% | Vitoria Guimarães B
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mafra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitoria Guimarães B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mafra - Vitoria Guimarães B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.09) |
3.1 ↓
(3.15) |
3.09 ↓
(3.7) |
9.6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Mafra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Guimarães B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guimarães B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mafra has had a series of away games.
- Mafra could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Vitoria Guimarães B?
Mafra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães B won against Mafra?
Vitoria Guimarães B has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Vitoria Guimarães B were as follows:
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
