Mainz vs Heidenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:1
13/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.411.41
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
64
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
41
Passes
73% (253/346)76% (375/491)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.411.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.741.42
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
1110
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2623
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1011
Passes
73% (253/346)76% (375/491)
Long passes
43% (25/58)37% (26/71)
Passes in final third
58% (70/121)61% (74/121)
Crosses
36% (5/14)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.680.38
Throw ins
2739
Fouls
1110
Tackles
71% (10/14)70% (14/20)
Duels won
6067
Clearances
5533
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
1.422.74
Goals prevented
0.420.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Widmer S. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
  • 34', Veratschnig N. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
  • 45', Kohr D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Schoppner J. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Amiri N. ⚽, Tietz P. (A),
  • 54', Pieringer M. 🟨,
  • 59', Kaufmann M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 59', Pieringer M. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
  • 59', Sieb A. ↓, Nebel P. ↑,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Schimmer S. ⚽,
  • 75', Niehues J. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
  • 77', Gimber B. 🟨,
  • 82', Fohrenbach J. ↓, Wagner Y. ↑,
  • 88', Schmidt F. 🟨,
  • 90', Amiri N. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
  • 90', Tietz P. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
  • 90+4', Widmer S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mainz
52.7%		Draw
25.6%		Heidenheim
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 25.9% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 25% 18.1%

Mainz - Heidenheim Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.81 ↑
(1.71)		 3.69 ↑
(3.64)		 4.43 ↓
(5)		 5%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mainz - Heidenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 34 - 68%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 8 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 55.1% – 80.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Heidenheim (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Mainz (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Mainz (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Mainz (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Heidenheim (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Heidenheim (3.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Mainz is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Dal M. (Knee Injury) Mwene P. (Muscle Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury) Weiper N. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Behrens H. (Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Hanche-Olsen A. (Injury) Leitsch M. (Muscle Injury) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Heidenheim were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Heidenheim - Mainz 0:2
    28.09.2024 Mainz - Heidenheim 0:2
    05.05.2024 Heidenheim - Mainz 1:1
    16.12.2023 Mainz - Heidenheim 0:1
    Latest results of Mainz
    10.01.2026 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺
    18.12.2025 Mainz - Samsunspor 2:0 ✺
    14.12.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    11.12.2025 Lech Poznań - Mainz 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    13.12.2025 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich18162071:145750
    2Dortmund18116135:171839
    3Hoffenheim17103435:211433
    4Stuttgart18103533:26733
    5RB Leipzig17102533:24932
    6Bayer Leverkusen1792634:25929
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1876538:39-127
    8Freiburg1866629:31-224
    9Union Berlin1866624:27-324
    10FC Koln1855827:30-320
    11B. Monchengladbach1855823:29-620
    12Wolfsburg1854927:38-1119
    13Werder Bremen1746721:34-1318
    14Hamburger SV1745817:27-1017
    15Augsburg18441020:35-1516
    16Heidenheim18341117:39-2213
    17Mainz18261018:31-1312
    18St. Pauli17331116:31-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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