Result
2:0
09/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Obrenovic R. (Slo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 2 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Myanmar | Canal + Mae Madi, Canal+ Myanmar |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 6 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 6 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (227/287) | 88% (536/607) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (227/287) | 88% (536/607) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 65% (31/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (49/79) | 72% (85/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Sano K. ⚽, Kawasaki S. (A),
- 19', 2 - 0, Posch S. ⚽, Nebel P. (A),
- 31', Doue G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Oyedele M. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
- 64', Yassine G. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
- 69', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 69', Weiper N. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 70', Kawasaki S. ↓, Boving W. ↑,
- 80', Widmer S. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
- 85', Godo M. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
- 89', Nebel P. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
- 90+5', Posch S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Moreira D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Sieb A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mainz
41.9% | Draw
28.4% | Strasbourg
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Mainz - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.17) |
3.37 ↓
(3.52) |
3.18 ↓
(3.25) |
5.8%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mainz - Strasbourg?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 3 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 49.8% – 83.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Strasbourg (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Mainz (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mainz (votes: 3 - 75%). Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- Mainz has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Strasbourg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mainz could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mainz: Becker S.
(Inactive)
Bos K.
(Inactive)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silas
(Broken shinbone)
Tauer N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Moreira D.
(Groin Injury)
Mwanga J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Panichelli J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Ouattara A.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Mainz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Strasbourg?
Mainz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Mainz?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Strasbourg were as follows:
09.08.2025
Mainz
-
Strasbourg
0:0
Latest results of Strasbourg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal
