Union Berlin vs Mainz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 18
Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 5
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport Max
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.08	1.69
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Goal Attempts
12	9
Shots on Goal
4	1
Shots off Goal
6	3
Blocked Shots
2	5
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
2	2
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
Free Kicks
10	12
Offsides
5	3
Fouls
12	10
Yellow Cards
2	2
Throw-ins
17	23
Touches in the Opposition Box
17	24
Passes
64% (201/314)	81% (516/635)
Passes in the final third
43% (32/74)	64% (101/159)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	18% (5/28)
Tackles
43% (6/14)	64% (7/11)
Clearances Total
50	28
Interceptions
9	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Hollerbach B. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Amiri N. (Pen),
24', 2 - 1, Skov R. (Pen),
26', Caci A. 🟨,
32', Bell S. 🟨,
32', Kemlein A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Juranovic J. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
60', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
61', Caci A. ↓, Widmer S. ↑,
61', Sieb A. ↓, Weiper N. ↑,
61', da Costa D. ↓, Hanche-Olsen A. ↑,
72', Schafer A. ↓, Khedira R. ↑,
76', Bell S. ↓, Leitsch M. ↑,
85', Mwene P. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
85', Skov R. ↓, Roussillon J. ↑,
85', Hollerbach B. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
86', Querfeld L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Union Berlin
37.3%

Draw
29.6%

Mainz
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.1%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.3%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Union Berlin - Mainz Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)	3.24 ↓ (3.66)	2.9 ↑ (2.64)	4% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Mainz?

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 15 - 34.1%). Mainz will win (votes: 17 - 38.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 24.2% – 53%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 2.
Union Berlin has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Mainz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Union Berlin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury) Prtajin I. (Leg Injury) Ronnow F. (Injury) Rothe T. (Red Card) Stein Y. (Leg Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Mainz: Bell S. (Elbow Injury) Burkardt J. (Thigh Injury) Jenz M. (Hip Injury) Vidovic G. (Ankle Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:10 (average 1.9:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 2.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Mainz?

Union Berlin has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Union Berlin?

Mainz has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Mainz were as follows:

24.08.2024 Mainz - Union Berlin 1:1

07.02.2024 Mainz - Union Berlin 1:1

20.08.2023 Union Berlin - Mainz 4:1

04.02.2023 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:1

Latest results of Union Berlin

15.01.2025 Union Berlin - Augsburg 0:2 ✺

11.01.2025 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 2:0 ✺

05.01.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 1:2 ✺

21.12.2024 Werder Bremen - Union Berlin 4:1 ✺

14.12.2024 Union Berlin - Bochum 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Mainz

14.01.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz 1:0 ✺

11.01.2025 Mainz - Bochum 2:0 ✺

21.12.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Mainz 1:3 ✺

14.12.2024 Mainz - Bayern Munich 2:1 ✺

08.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Mainz 4:3 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga