Arenas Armilla vs Mancha Real – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real
Result
2:1
09/02/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Bolivar M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 1, ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Cantal P. ,

Chances of winning


Arenas Armilla
49.5%
Draw
28%
Mancha Real
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 29% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 28.5% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenas Armilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Armilla's performance.
  • Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mancha Real might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Armilla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mancha Real could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.17)
    3.24
    (3.14)
    4.01
    (3.15)
    10.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 8).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Mancha Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Arenas Armilla have a series of guest games.
    • Arenas Armilla will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Arenas Armilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arenas Armilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real 0:0
    15.10.2023 Mancha Real - Arenas Armilla 1:2
    Latest results of Arenas Armilla
    Latest results of Mancha Real
    02.02.2025 Mancha Real - CP Almería 1:0
    26.01.2025 Real Jaén - Mancha Real 2:1
    19.01.2025 Mancha Real - Martos 0:2
    22.12.2024 Mancha Real - Malaga B 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2