Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Marbellí
58.9% | Draw
26.2% | Mancha Real
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marbellí's performance.Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marbellí that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Marbellí - Mancha Real Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.75) |
3.65 ↑
(3.17) |
6.37 ↑
(4.79) |
4.8%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Marbellí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mancha Real is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Marbellí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marbellí is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marbellí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Marbellí won against Mancha Real?
Marbellí has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mancha Real won against Marbellí?
Mancha Real has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marbellí - Mancha Real were as follows:
02.11.2025
Mancha Real
-
Marbellí
0:1
12.04.2025
Mancha Real
-
Marbellí
2:3
Latest results of Marbellí
Latest results of Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motril | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 46:22 | 24 | 54 |
| 2 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 31:17 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Torre del Mar | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 32:21 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 43 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:22 | 7 | 40 |
| 7 | Torredonjimeno | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Huetor Vega | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | Granada CF B | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 35 |
| 11 | UD San Pedro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26:31 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Melilla B | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 19:22 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | CD Alhaurino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Martos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 30 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | Mancha | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21:30 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | El Palo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Torreperogil | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
