Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 21
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 1 Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League 3, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoFOX One
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldSport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.380.81
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
63
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
62
Passes
87% (505/578)78% (298/381)
Yellow cards
16
Expected goals (xG)
2.380.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.750.96
Total shots
227
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
175
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
5215
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
23
Free kicks
166
Passes
87% (505/578)78% (298/381)
Long passes
55% (21/38)33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
79% (145/183)47% (28/60)
Crosses
46% (6/13)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.721.05
Throw ins
1822
Fouls
616
Tackles
80% (12/15)52% (11/21)
Duels won
5735
Clearances
1023
Interceptions
2019
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.961.75
Goals prevented
-0.040.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Dunk L. 🟨,
  • 41', Gross P. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Haaland E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Mitoma K. , Ayari Y. (A),
  • 60', De Cuyper M. 🟨,
  • 60', Donnarumma G. 🟨,
  • 64', Nico , Rodri ,
  • 69', Mitoma K. 🟨,
  • 73', Foden P. , Cherki R. ,
  • 73', Ake N. , O'Reilly N. ,
  • 73', Nunes M. , Lewis R. ,
  • 77', Rutter G. , Welbeck D. ,
  • 77', Gomez D. , Gruda B. ,
  • 83', Mitoma K. , Watson T. ,
  • 83', Ayari Y. , Milner J. ,
  • 89', Watson T. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/tzx9v7rx

Chances of winning


Manchester City
63.4%
Draw
20.6%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 17.9% 14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 16.8% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.41)
    4.65
    (5.31)
    5.98
    (6.55)
    4.8%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 93 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 84 - 90.3%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 3 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 6.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 84.3%96.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Brighton & Hove (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Brighton & Hove (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 44 high ROI users predict this event. Man City (votes: 37 - 84.1%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 4 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 6.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 2.
    • Man City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Man City is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R. (International duty) Bobb O. (Hamstring Injury) Dias R. (Thigh Injury) Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Kovacic M. (Heel Injury) Marmoush O. (International duty) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Baleba C. (International duty) March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Toe Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man City: Savinho (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Minteh Y. (Thigh Injury)
    • We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Man City won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:15. (average 2.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:5. (average 2.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City 2:1
    15.03.2025 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2
    09.11.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City 2:1
    25.04.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City 0:4
    21.10.2023 Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal29197358:223664
    2Manchester City28185557:253259
    3Manchester Utd28149550:381251
    4Aston Villa28156738:30851
    5Liverpool28146847:371048
    6Chelsea28129749:331645
    7Brentford281341144:40443
    8Everton281171032:33-140
    9Fulham281241240:42-240
    10Bournemouth28912744:46-239
    11Brighton28910938:35337
    12Sunderland28910929:34-537
    13Newcastle281061240:42-236
    14Crystal Palace28981130:34-435
    15Leeds287101137:47-1031
    16Tottenham28781338:43-529
    17Nottingham28761526:41-1527
    18West Ham28671534:54-2025
    19Burnley28471732:56-2419
    20Wolves29272020:51-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship