Manchester United vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Manchester United - Burnley
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Manchester United
71.2%
Draw
18.1%
Burnley
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 18.2% 10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 17.4% 10.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Manchester United - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.35)
    5.29
    (5.27)
    9.2
    (8.77)
    3.9%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 3.
    • Man Utd has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Burnley's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Man Utd has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Burnley has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Man Utd is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:11. (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Burnley were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Manchester United - Burnley 1:1
    23.09.2023 Burnley - Manchester United 0:1
    21.12.2022 Manchester United - Burnley 2:0
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Burnley
    09.08.2025 Burnley - Lazio 0:1
    02.08.2025 Stoke City - Burnley 1:0
    26.07.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Burnley 2:2
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tottenham22005:056
    2Chelsea21105:144
    3Sunderland11003:033
    4Liverpool11004:223
    5Manchester City21014:223
    6Nottingham11003:123
    7Arsenal11001:013
    8Leeds11001:013
    9Fulham10101:101
    10Brighton10101:101
    11Newcastle10100:001
    12Crystal Palace10100:001
    13Aston Villa10100:001
    14Everton10010:1-10
    15Manchester Utd10010:1-10
    16Bournemouth10012:4-20
    17Brentford10011:3-20
    18Burnley10010:3-30
    19Wolves10010:4-40
    20West Ham20021:8-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship