Manchester United vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Manchester United - Burnley
Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 3
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
beninBeninBenin TV
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
botswanaBotswanaYTV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireNCI
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Premier League
greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
guineaGuineaCIS
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, SuperSport 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malawiMalawiMBC
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport Premier League
nigeriaNigeriaNTA Sports, SuperSport Blitz, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPro TV, Voyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool, V Sport Premium
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
tanzaniaTanzaniaUTV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ugandaUgandaNBS Sport 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaPeacock TV, SiriusXM FC
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
worldWorldSport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.531.20
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
266
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
82% (409/499)71% (218/307)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
3.531.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.66
Total shots
266
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
131
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
195
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
89
Passes
82% (409/499)71% (218/307)
Long passes
58% (33/57)36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
76% (131/173)49% (39/79)
Crosses
50% (12/24)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.39
Throw-ins
2113
Fouls
99
Tackles
56% (9/16)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
1639
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.661.65
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Cullen J. (Own goal),
  • 31', Cunha M. , Zirkzee J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Mount M. , Mainoo K. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Foster L. , Bruun Larsen J. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 1, Mbeumo B. , Dalot D. (A),
  • 65', Mejbri H. , Tchaouna L. ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Anthony J. ,
  • 72', Casemiro , Sesko B. ,
  • 76', Ugochukwu L. , Laurent J. ,
  • 76', Fernandes B. 🟨,
  • 83', Bruun Larsen J. , Sonne O. ,
  • 83', Ekdal H. , Worrall J. ,
  • 85', Yoro L. , Mazraoui N. ,
  • 89', Tchaouna L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Anthony J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Foster L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, Fernandes B. (Pen),
  • 90+7', Laurent J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Walker K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
68.6%
Draw
19.1%
Burnley
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 18.2% 10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 17.4% 10.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Manchester United - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.35)
    5.01
    (5.27)
    7.82
    (8.77)
    4.5%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Burnley?
  • Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 40 - 76.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 65.4%88.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Burnley (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Burnley (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 3.
    • Man Utd has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Burnley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Man Utd is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mazraoui N. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Manuel Hedilazio B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:11. (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Burnley were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Manchester United - Burnley 1:1
    23.09.2023 Burnley - Manchester United 0:1
    21.12.2022 Manchester United - Burnley 2:0
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Burnley
    26.08.2025 Burnley - Derby County 2:1
    23.08.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 2:0
    09.08.2025 Burnley - Lazio 0:1
    02.08.2025 Stoke City - Burnley 1:0
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool33008:449
    2Chelsea32107:167
    3Arsenal32016:156
    4Tottenham32015:146
    5Everton32015:326
    6Sunderland32015:326
    7Bournemouth32014:406
    8Crystal Palace31204:135
    9Manchester Utd31114:404
    10Nottingham31114:5-14
    11Brighton31113:4-14
    12Leeds31111:5-44
    13Manchester City31025:413
    14Burnley31024:6-23
    15Brentford31023:5-23
    16West Ham31024:8-43
    17Newcastle30212:3-12
    18Fulham30212:4-22
    19Aston Villa30120:4-41
    20Wolves30032:8-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship