Burnley vs Manchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Turf Moor (Burnley).

Premier League - Round 21
Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 7, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24 At Sea

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.24	2.25
Ball possession
35%	65%
Total shots
7	30
Shots on target
1	10
Big chances
0	4
Corner kicks
2	6
Passes
75% (234/310)	87% (504/577)
Yellow cards
2	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.24	2.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.88	2.42
Total shots
7	30
Shots on target
1	10
Shots off target
1	13
Blocked shots
5	7
Shots inside the box
6	20
Shots outside the box
1	10
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Big chances
0	4
Corner kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
9	40
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
8	9
Passes
75% (234/310)	87% (504/577)
Long passes
34% (19/56)	55% (18/33)
Passes in final third
73% (63/86)	79% (131/166)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	35% (9/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.18	1.58
Throw ins
16	16
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
67% (12/18)	93% (14/15)
Duels won
44	59
Clearances
25	14
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	0
xGOT faced
2.42	0.88
Goals prevented
0.42	-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Heaven A. (Own goal),
41', Mejbri H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
58', Mejbri H. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Sesko B. ⚽, Dorgu P. (A),
61', Fernandes B. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
61', Heaven A. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Anthony J. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
74', Cunha M. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
74', Casemiro ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
76', Broja A. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
84', Ugarte M. ↓, Lacey S. ↑,
89', Parker S. 🟨,
90+2', Edwards M. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
90+5', Foster L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Burnley
19.2%

Draw
24.4%

Manchester United
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

23.2%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

22.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Burnley - Manchester United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (3.84)	3.92 ↓ (4.1)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	4.4% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Burnley - Manchester United?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.5 - Man Utd (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Burnley (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Man Utd (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (65 of 73 users predict this - 89.04%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.87% – 96.21%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester United will win (34 of 35 users predict this - 97.14%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 39 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 2.6%). Man Utd (votes: 37 - 94.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
Burnley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Man Utd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Man Utd is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Cullen J. (Knee Injury) Flemming Z. (Knock) Foster L. (International duty) Mejbri H. (International duty) Roberts C. (Groin Injury) Tuanzebe A. (International duty) Worrall J. (Injury)
There will not play in Man Utd: Diallo A. (International duty) Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury) Mazraoui N. (International duty) Mbeumo B. (International duty) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Burnley: Esteve M. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Man Utd: Mainoo K. (Calf Injury) Mount M. (Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:29. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Manchester United?

Burnley has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Burnley?

Manchester United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Manchester United were as follows:

30.08.2025 Manchester United - Burnley 3:2

27.04.2024 Manchester United - Burnley 1:1

23.09.2023 Burnley - Manchester United 0:1

21.12.2022 Manchester United - Burnley 2:0

Latest results of Burnley

03.01.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley 2:0 ✺

30.12.2025 Burnley - Newcastle United 1:3 ✺

27.12.2025 Burnley - Everton 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Bournemouth - Burnley 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Burnley - Fulham 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Manchester United

04.01.2026 Leeds United - Manchester United 1:1 ✺

30.12.2025 Manchester United - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺

21.12.2025 Aston Villa - Manchester United 2:1 ✺

15.12.2025 Manchester United - Bournemouth 4:4 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	29	19	7	3	58:22	36	64
2	Manchester City	28	18	5	5	57:25	32	59
3	Manchester Utd	28	14	9	5	50:38	12	51
4	Aston Villa	28	15	6	7	38:30	8	51
5	Liverpool	28	14	6	8	47:37	10	48
6	Chelsea	28	12	9	7	49:33	16	45
7	Brentford	28	13	4	11	44:40	4	43
8	Everton	28	11	7	10	32:33	-1	40
9	Fulham	28	12	4	12	40:42	-2	40
10	Bournemouth	28	9	12	7	44:46	-2	39
11	Brighton	28	9	10	9	38:35	3	37
12	Sunderland	28	9	10	9	29:34	-5	37
13	Newcastle	28	10	6	12	40:42	-2	36
14	Crystal Palace	28	9	8	11	30:34	-4	35
15	Leeds	28	7	10	11	37:47	-10	31
16	Tottenham	28	7	8	13	38:43	-5	29
17	Nottingham	28	7	6	15	26:41	-15	27
18	West Ham	28	6	7	15	34:54	-20	25
19	Burnley	28	4	7	17	32:56	-24	19
20	Wolves	29	2	7	20	20:51	-31	13

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      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship