Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 3
- Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League |
Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
Benin | Benin TV |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Botswana | YTV |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Cote-d-ivoire | NCI |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
France | Canal+ Live 4 |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | Sky Sport Premier League |
Greece | Nova Sports Premier League |
Guinea | CIS |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV |
Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 2 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Ireland | Premier Sports 1 ROI |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3, SuperSport 2 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Malawi | MBC |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
Mauritius | MBC 11 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | Sky Sport Premier League |
Nigeria | NTA Sports, SuperSport Blitz, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1 |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
Romania | Pro TV, Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-africa | SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool, V Sport Premium |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Tanzania | UTV |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Uganda | NBS Sport 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360 |
World | Sport 24 At Sea |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.53 | 1.20 |
Ball Possession |
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62% | 38% |
Total shots |
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26 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 1 |
Passes |
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82% (409/499) | 71% (218/307) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.53 | 1.20 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.65 | 1.66 |
Total shots |
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26 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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13 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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19 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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7 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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39 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 9 |
Passes |
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82% (409/499) | 71% (218/307) |
Long passes |
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58% (33/57) | 36% (24/66) |
Passes in final third |
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76% (131/173) | 49% (39/79) |
Crosses |
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50% (12/24) | 11% (1/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.81 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 13 |
Fouls |
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9 | 9 |
Tackles |
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56% (9/16) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
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49 | 52 |
Clearances |
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16 | 39 |
Interceptions |
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2 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.66 | 1.65 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.34 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Cullen J. (Own goal),
- 31', Cunha M. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Mount M. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Foster L. ⚽, Bruun Larsen J. (A),
- 57', 2 - 1, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Dalot D. (A),
- 65', Mejbri H. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Anthony J. ⚽,
- 72', Casemiro ↓, Sesko B. ↑,
- 76', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
- 76', Fernandes B. 🟨,
- 83', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
- 83', Ekdal H. ↓, Worrall J. ↑,
- 85', Yoro L. ↓, Mazraoui N. ↑,
- 89', Tchaouna L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Anthony J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Foster L. 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Fernandes B. (Pen),
- 90+7', Laurent J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Walker K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Manchester United 68.6% | Draw 19.1% | Burnley 12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Manchester United - Burnley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.39 ↑ (1.35) |
5.01 ↓ (5.27) |
7.82 ↓ (8.77) |
4.5% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Manchester United - Burnley?
Users Predictions:
52 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 40 - 76.9%). Burnley will win (votes: 8 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 65.4% – 88.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Burnley (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Burnley (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 3.
- Man Utd has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Burnley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Man Utd is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li.
(Knee Injury)
Mazraoui N.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Roberts C.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Manuel Hedilazio B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:11. (average 1.5:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Burnley?
Manchester United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Manchester United?
Burnley has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Burnley were as follows:
27.04.2024
Manchester United
-
Burnley
1:1
23.09.2023
Burnley
-
Manchester United
0:1
21.12.2022
Manchester United
-
Burnley
2:0
Latest results of Manchester United
Latest results of Burnley
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
2 | Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
3 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Tottenham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
5 | Everton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
7 | Bournemouth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 5 |
9 | Manchester Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Nottingham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Brighton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
13 | Manchester City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Burnley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Brentford | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
16 | West Ham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Newcastle | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Fulham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
19 | Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Wolves | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship