Result
3:2
13/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 16
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (437/493) | 88% (436/495) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (437/493) | 88% (436/495) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (30/49) | 46% (18/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (110/137) | 87% (89/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Ruocco F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', 0 - 2, Artioli F. ⚽,
- 32', Mensah D. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 2, Shpendi C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 2, Castellini A. (Own goal),
- 56', Artioli F. 🟨,
- 63', Castagnetti M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 70', Bani C. ↓, Mullen S. ↑,
- 70', Paoletti F. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 73', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 2, Frabotta G. ⚽,
- 80', Frabotta G. 🟨,
- 81', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 81', Zaro G. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
- 83', Artioli F. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 83', Marras T. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
- 90+2', Ciervo R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 90+2', Blesa J. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 90+3', Mignani M. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/29ntfevc
Chances of winning
Cesena
55.7% | Draw
25.3% | Mantova
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cesena - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.08) |
3.72 ↑
(3.23) |
4.92 ↑
(3.41) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
Cesena will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cesena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cesena is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bragantini D.
(Inactive)
Mancuso L.
(Muscle Injury)
Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Mantova?
Cesena has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Cesena?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Mantova were as follows:
02.08.2025
Mantova
-
Cesena
1:2
01.05.2025
Mantova
-
Cesena
3:0
29.09.2024
Cesena
-
Mantova
4:2
05.05.2024
Mantova
-
Cesena
1:2
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36:16 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Venezia | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | Monza | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 37 |
| 4 | Palermo | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 | Empoli | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Padova | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Avellino | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sudtirol | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Entella | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Sampdoria | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 | Spezia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 18 | Bari | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Mantova | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | Pescara | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 25:37 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
