Result
3:2
13/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 16
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (437/493) | 88% (436/495) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (437/493) | 88% (436/495) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (30/49) | 46% (18/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (110/137) | 87% (89/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Ruocco F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', 0 - 2, Artioli F. ⚽,
- 32', Mensah D. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 2, Shpendi C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 2, Castellini A. (Own goal),
- 56', Artioli F. 🟨,
- 63', Castagnetti M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 70', Bani C. ↓, Mullen S. ↑,
- 70', Paoletti F. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 73', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 78', 3 - 2, Frabotta G. ⚽,
- 80', Frabotta G. 🟨,
- 81', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 81', Zaro G. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
- 83', Artioli F. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 83', Marras T. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
- 90+2', Ciervo R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 90+2', Blesa J. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 90+3', Mignani M. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/29ntfevc
Chances of winning
Cesena
55.7% | Draw
25.3% | Mantova
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cesena's performance.Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mantova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cesena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cesena - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.08) |
3.72 ↑
(3.23) |
4.92 ↑
(3.41) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Mantova?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cesena will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cesena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cesena is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bragantini D.
(Inactive)
Mancuso L.
(Muscle Injury)
Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Mantova?
Cesena has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Cesena?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Mantova were as follows:
02.08.2025
Mantova
-
Cesena
1:2
01.05.2025
Mantova
-
Cesena
3:0
29.09.2024
Cesena
-
Mantova
4:2
05.05.2024
Mantova
-
Cesena
1:2
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
