Mantova vs Cesena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Danilo Martelli (Mantova).

Serie B - Round 31
Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.68	0.75
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
20	13
Shots on target
4	3
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
85% (376/441)	85% (408/480)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.68	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.19	0.39
Total shots
20	13
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
10	5
Blocked shots
6	5
Shots inside the box
12	7
Shots outside the box
8	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
34	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
16	19
Passes
85% (376/441)	85% (408/480)
Long passes
49% (18/37)	44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
79% (142/180)	75% (74/99)
Crosses
32% (6/19)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.44	0.84
Throw ins
11	19
Fouls
19	16
Tackles
40% (6/15)	50% (4/8)
Duels won
43	43
Clearances
18	17
Interceptions
15	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.39	1.19
Goals prevented
0.39	-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Zaro G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Guidi M. 🟨,
53', Ciofi A. 🟨,
55', Piacentini M. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Meroni A. ⚽, Castellini A. (A),
60', Vrioni G. ↓, Cerri A. ↑,
62', Trimboli S. 🟨,
62', Dembele A. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
63', Corazza T. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
63', Ciervo R. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
69', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
69', Buso N. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
75', Francesconi M. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
75', Piacentini M. ↓, Amoran P. ↑,
82', Marras T. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
82', Trimboli S. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Mancuso L. ⚽, Falletti C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Mantova
39.3%

Draw
29%

Cesena
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Mantova - Cesena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.57)	3.2 ↓ (3.33)	2.97 ↑ (2.57)	7% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Mantova - Cesena?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Cesena will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1.
Recent performances by Mantova have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cesena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C. (Injury) Bonfanti N. (Inactive) Muci N. (Inactive) Ruocco F. (Inactive) Zuccon F. (Inactive)
There will not play in Cesena: Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Frabotta G. (Inactive) Magni V. (Injury) Mangraviti M. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Cesena?

Mantova has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Mantova?

Cesena has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Cesena were as follows:

13.12.2025 Cesena - Mantova 3:2

02.08.2025 Mantova - Cesena 1:2

01.05.2025 Mantova - Cesena 3:0

29.09.2024 Cesena - Mantova 4:2

05.05.2024 Mantova - Cesena 1:2

Latest results of Mantova

14.03.2026 Empoli - Mantova 2:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Mantova - Juve Stabia 2:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Palermo - Mantova 2:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Mantova - Carrarese 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Mantova - Sampdoria 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Cesena

14.03.2026 Cesena - Frosinone 2:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Modena - Cesena 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Cesena - Monza 1:3 ✺

28.02.2026 Empoli - Cesena 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Cesena - Spezia 2:3 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	31	20	7	4	63:26	37	67
2	Monza	31	19	7	5	49:25	24	64
3	Frosinone	31	17	11	3	59:31	28	62
4	Palermo	31	16	10	5	51:27	24	58
5	Catanzaro	30	14	10	6	48:35	13	52
6	Modena	30	13	8	9	40:24	16	47
7	Juve Stabia	31	9	15	7	35:37	-2	42
8	Cesena	31	11	7	13	38:46	-8	40
9	Avellino	31	10	9	12	36:49	-13	39
10	Sudtirol	31	8	14	9	33:32	1	38
11	Carrarese	31	8	12	11	38:42	-4	36
12	Padova	31	8	10	13	32:42	-10	34
13	Mantova	31	9	7	15	35:46	-11	34
14	Empoli	31	7	12	12	39:45	-6	33
15	Sampdoria	31	7	10	14	29:42	-13	31
16	Bari	31	7	10	14	30:47	-17	31
17	Entella	31	7	10	14	28:45	-17	31
18	Spezia	31	7	9	15	30:43	-13	30
19	Reggiana	31	7	9	15	30:46	-16	30
20	Pescara	31	6	11	14	41:54	-13	29

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation