Result
2:0
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Prontera A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (239/293) | 91% (572/629) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (239/293) | 91% (572/629) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 44% (14/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (62/83) | 84% (130/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | -1.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Brignani F. 🟨,
- 38', Radaelli N. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Amatucci L. ⚽, Corazza T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 59', Fiori A. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
- 69', Brignani F. ↓, De Maio S. ↑,
- 69', Bragantini D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
- 70', Zuccon F. ↓, Tello A. ↑,
- 70', Cerri A. ↓, Simy ↑,
- 77', Ghiglione P. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 77', Verde D. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
- 77', Mancuso L. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
- 85', Soriano R. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Simy ⚽, Ruggeri F. (A),
Chances of winning
Salernitana
47.2% | Draw
28.8% | Mantova
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Salernitana - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.07) |
3.27 ↑
(3.22) |
3.89 ↑
(3.68) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Salernitana - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 1 - 50%). Mantova (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- Recent performances by Salernitana have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mantova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Salernitana will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Salernitana: Bronn D.
(Injury)
Girelli S.
(Inactive)
Hrustic A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Mantova: Redolfi A.
(Injury)
Ruocco F.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Salernitana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Mantova?
Salernitana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Salernitana?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salernitana - Mantova were as follows:
01.09.2024
Mantova
-
Salernitana
1:0
Latest results of Salernitana
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
