Shabana vs Mara Sugar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Shabana - Mara Sugar
Result
0:1
18/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Oucho C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Shabana
45.2%
Draw
28.7%
Mara Sugar
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 29.4% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 28.2% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mara Sugar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shabana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mara Sugar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shabana - Mara Sugar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.82)
    3.14
    (3.08)
    3.47
    (4.35)
    10.7%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).
    • Shabana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mara Sugar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Shabana is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shabana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Shabana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shabana - Mara Sugar were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Mara Sugar - Shabana 1:0
    07.01.2023 Mara Sugar - Shabana 0:1
    Latest results of Shabana
    14.05.2025 Shabana - Bidco United 2:1
    09.05.2025 Kenya CB - Shabana 0:1
    04.05.2025 Shabana - Gor Mahia 0:1
    20.04.2025 Talanta - Shabana 2:4
    Latest results of Mara Sugar
    14.05.2025 Mara Sugar - Bandari 0:0
    04.05.2025 Mara Sugar - Ulinzi Stars 1:1
    27.04.2025 Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar 4:0
    19.04.2025 Mara Sugar - Kenya CB 1:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Posta RangersNaivas FC0 : 1, 2 : 0