Maringá vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Total shots
175
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
103
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Maranhao ,
  • 14', Thiago Ennes 🟨,
  • 38', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lorran , Taua ,
  • 46', Pedro Cuiaba , Kelvyn ,
  • 46', Calyson , Igor Torres ,
  • 47', Taua 🟨,
  • 52', Max Miller 🟨,
  • 63', Taua 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Edison Negueba ,
  • 68', Tomas Bastos , Paulinho Souza ,
  • 69', Max Miller , Caua Tavares ,
  • 74', Douglas Skilo , Faria Giequelin L. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Maranhao ,
  • 79', Ze Vitor 🟨,
  • 81', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 81', Ze Vitor , Bruno Cheron ,
  • 81', Danielzinho , Parrudo ,
  • 81', Maranhao , Julio Rodrigues ,
  • 84', Ronald Carvalho , Jhow Alecxander ,
  • 86', Julio Rodrigues 🟨,

Chances of winning


Maringá
52.4%
Draw
28.6%
Caxias
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 26.6% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 28.8% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Maringá - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.74)
    3.35
    (3.43)
    5.06
    (4.39)
    4.4%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Maringá - Caxias?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maringá will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Caxias will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Maringá (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Caxias (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
    • In recent matches, Maringá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caxias is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Maringá is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maringá won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maringá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    Latest results of Maringá
    24.08.2025 Itabaiana - Maringá 2:2
    16.08.2025 Maringá - Retrô Brasil 1:0
    11.08.2025 Figueirense - Maringá 1:1
    03.08.2025 Maringá - Floresta 1:1
    28.07.2025 Tombense - Maringá 1:1
    Latest results of Caxias
    23.08.2025 Caxias - Brusque 0:1
    18.08.2025 Tombense - Caxias 0:0
    09.08.2025 Caxias - ABC 1:0
    03.08.2025 Ypiranga - Caxias 0:1
    27.07.2025 Caxias - Ponte Preta 2:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense00000:000
    2Volta Redonda00000:000
    3Ituano00000:000
    4Santa Cruz00000:000
    5Itabaiana00000:000
    6Confianca00000:000
    7Guarani00000:000
    8Paysandu PA00000:000
    9Botafogo PB00000:000
    10Brusque00000:000
    11Ferroviaria00000:000
    12SER Caxias00000:000
    13Anapolis00000:000
    14Maranhao00000:000
    15Inter de Limeira00000:000
    16Maringa FC00000:000
    17Ypiranga FC00000:000
    18Floresta EC00000:000
    19Amazonas00000:000
    20Barra FC00000:000

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