Marinhense vs Fatima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
48
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
410
Total shots
48
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
13
Corner kicks
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, ,
  • 40', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Marinhense
40.1%
Draw
30.3%
Fatima
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28.4% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 28.6% 27.3%

Marinhense - Fatima Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.25
(2.05)
2.98
(3.18)
3.05
(3.29)
11%
(10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
  • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 7).
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Marinhense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - Fatima were as follows:
24.08.2025 Fatima - Marinhense 1:1
09.02.2025 Fatima - Marinhense 1:0
29.09.2024 Marinhense - Fatima 2:2
Latest results of Marinhense
10.01.2026 Marinhense - Peniche 0:0
13.12.2025 Lajense - Marinhense 2:1
06.12.2025 SC Lusitânia - Marinhense 0:0
Latest results of Fatima
18.01.2026 Fatima - SC Lusitânia 2:0
10.01.2026 União da Serra - Fatima 0:0
21.12.2025 SB Castelo Branco - Fatima 1:0
14.12.2025 Fatima - Eléctrico 0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Vitoria Sernache16123126:62039
2Naval 18931794426:17931
3Oliveira Hospital1685322:91329
4SB Castelo Branco1692526:141229
5Mortagua1675416:16026
6Uniao Da Serra1666423:17624
7Lajense1756623:22121
8Os Marialvas1662819:21-220
9Peniche1655617:23-620
10Fatima1654713:17-419
11Marinhense1646611:20-918
12Electrico17341018:34-1613
13SC Lusitania17341016:25-913
14Samora Correia1624108:23-1510

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