Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marinhense 40.1% | Draw 30.3% | Fatima 29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Marinhense - Fatima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↑ (2.05) |
2.98 ↓ (3.18) |
3.05 ↓ (3.29) |
11% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Marinhense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against Fatima?
Marinhense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatima won against Marinhense?
Fatima has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - Fatima were as follows:
24.08.2025
Fatima
-
Marinhense
1:1
09.02.2025
Fatima
-
Marinhense
1:0
29.09.2024
Marinhense
-
Fatima
2:2
Latest results of Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 26:6 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Naval 1893 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Oliveira Hospital | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 26:14 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Mortagua | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 26 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 | Lajense | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Os Marialvas | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 | Peniche | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | Fatima | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 | Electrico | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 13 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16:25 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Samora Correia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 8:23 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation