Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marinhense
40.1% | Draw
30.3% | Fatima
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Marinhense - Fatima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.05) |
2.98 ↓
(3.18) |
3.05 ↓
(3.29) |
11%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 7).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Marinhense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against Fatima?
Marinhense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatima won against Marinhense?
Fatima has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - Fatima were as follows:
24.08.2025
Fatima
-
Marinhense
1:1
09.02.2025
Fatima
-
Marinhense
1:0
29.09.2024
Marinhense
-
Fatima
2:2
Latest results of Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
