Vitória de Sernache vs Marinhense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense
Result
0:2
24/03/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Vitória de Sernache
19.6%
Draw
28.3%
Marinhense
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 33.3% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 32.5% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória de Sernache's form might have worsened.
  • Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marinhense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória de Sernache, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.69
    (3.33)
    3.25
    (2.77)
    1.77
    (2.37)
    8.7%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3).
    • Sernache is Relegated to
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sernache won 0.
    • Recent matches Sernache is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Marinhense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Marinhense will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sernache won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense were as follows:
    10.12.2023 Marinhense - Vitória de Sernache 2:1
    Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
    Latest results of Marinhense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1