Result
2:3
11/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 17
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Joao Teixeira ⚽, Esajas R. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Correia R. ⚽,
- 26', Madsen N. 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 1, Simoes T. ⚽,
- 31', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
- 37', Roberto 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', Cruz M. 🟨,
- 59', Cruz M. ↓, Borukov P. ↑,
- 64', Muscat Z. 🟨,
- 70', Joao Teixeira ↓, Ktatau ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Tejon M. ⚽,
- 76', Henrique P. ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
- 77', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
- 79', Esajas R. ↓, Wellington Carvalho ↑,
- 89', Danilovic V. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
- 89', Reinaldo ↓, Pina R. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Freitas A. ⚽, Ibrahima (A),
Chances of winning
Chaves
33.7% | Draw
30.8% | Marítimo
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-5%)
Chaves - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.5) |
2.97 ↑
(2.75) |
2.61 ↓
(2.9) |
8.5%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chaves - Marítimo?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Chaves will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Marítimo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Chaves (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 25%). Marítimo (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 3.
- Chaves is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Marítimo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Marítimo?
Chaves has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Chaves?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Marítimo were as follows:
02.02.2025
Chaves
-
Marítimo
1:1
25.08.2024
Marítimo
-
Chaves
1:1
05.02.2023
Chaves
-
Marítimo
2:1
Latest results of Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
