Penafiel vs Marítimo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel).

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27
Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	7
Corner Kicks
8	3
Yellow Cards
2	4
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
3	3
Corner Kicks
8	3
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
18	17
Fouls
17	16
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Michel Costa 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Guedes A. (Pen),
41', Reko 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Batista D. ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
47', Ibrahima 🟨,
50', Igor Juliao ↓, Fabio China ↑,
58', Rodrigues T. 🟨,
62', Reko ↓, Suker H. ↑,
62', Domingos T. 🟨,
66', Michel Costa ↓, Franca F. ↑,
73', Rodrigues T. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
74', Blanco F. ↓, Benchi D. ↑,
74', Ibrahima ↓, Correia R. ↑,
79', Olamilekan Fatai S. ↓, Leal J. ↑,
85', Guedes A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Penafiel
33.8%

Draw
30.2%

Marítimo
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

29.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

28.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Penafiel - Marítimo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.81)	3.05 ↓ (3.11)	2.56 ↑ (2.48)	8.5% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Penafiel - Marítimo?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Marítimo?

Penafiel has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Penafiel?

Marítimo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Marítimo were as follows:

02.11.2024 Marítimo - Penafiel 1:2

05.05.2024 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1

23.12.2023 Marítimo - Penafiel 0:0

Latest results of Penafiel

15.03.2025 Académico de Viseu - Penafiel 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Penafiel - Alverca 3:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Penafiel - Portimonense 3:0 ✺

16.02.2025 Porto B - Penafiel 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Marítimo

15.03.2025 Marítimo - Felgueiras 0:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Marítimo - Académico de Viseu 1:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Porto B - Marítimo 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Marítimo - Leiria 1:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Alverca - Marítimo 5:0 ✺

Portuguese Liga 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Leixoes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Feirense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Penafiel	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Portimonense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Vizela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Chaves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Oliveirense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Torreense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Maritimo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Pacos Ferreira	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leiria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Academico Viseu	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Lusitania FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	SC Farense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Felgueiras	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	FC Porto B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Sporting CP B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Benfica B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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