Marítimo vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
01
Total shots
114
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
60
Corner Kicks
44
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2117
Throw-ins
3127
Fouls
1420

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Tejon M. ,
  • 28', lano Imbene 🟨,
  • 33', Madsen N. 🟨,
  • 40', Kebe I. 🟥,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Reko (Pen),
  • 45', Raphael Guzzo , Cruz M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Negrao G. , Pedro Sa ,
  • 46', lano Imbene , Alloh T. ,
  • 52', Butzke A. 🟨,
  • 52', 2 - 1, Carlos Daniel , Butzke A. (A),
  • 64', Alcaina R. , Suker H. ,
  • 70', Butzke A. , Tavares M. ,
  • 81', Igor Juliao 🟨,
  • 81', Davo , Alves R. ,
  • 81', Santos A. , Vieira P. ,
  • 84', Carlos Daniel , Gomes Aguiar F. T. ,
  • 85', Igor Juliao , Andrade R. ,
  • 85', Bouzaidi S. , Elis A. ,
  • 89', Gomes Aguiar F. T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Suker H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Marítimo
61%
Draw
23.5%
Penafiel
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.9% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 23.1% 18.2%

Marítimo - Penafiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.53
(1.6)
3.96
(3.9)
5.95
(5.29)
7.3%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Penafiel?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Marítimo is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Penafiel were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1
    02.11.2024 Marítimo - Penafiel 1:2
    05.05.2024 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1
    23.12.2023 Marítimo - Penafiel 0:0
    Latest results of Marítimo
    03.11.2025 Oliveirense - Marítimo 0:2
    30.10.2025 Marítimo - Leiria 1:3
    19.10.2025 Porto B - Marítimo 1:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    02.11.2025 Vizela - Penafiel 1:3
    26.10.2025 Farense - Penafiel 0:0
    19.10.2025 Penafiel - Feirense 1:2
    05.10.2025 Benfica B - Penafiel 0:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo18123331:131839
    2Academico Viseu1895433:191432
    3Sporting CP B1892727:151229
    4Vizela1877424:17728
    5Chaves1875621:16526
    6Torreense1882822:21126
    7Benfica B1867526:24225
    8Leiria1867523:23025
    9Lusitania FC1866625:29-424
    10Feirense1866624:23124
    11Felgueiras1865719:23-423
    12Portimonense1864820:26-622
    13SC Farense1856715:21-621
    14FC Porto B1863918:26-821
    15Leixoes18621021:36-1520
    16Pacos Ferreira1847718:27-919
    17Oliveirense1847718:22-419
    18Penafiel1854916:20-419

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3