Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 14', 1 - 0, Pedro Cacho ⚽,
- 30', Aguirre L. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Dodo ⚽,
- 40', Caruana T. ↓, Ghio J. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 2, Dodo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kozic A. ↓, Diamanka C. ↑,
- 56', Muscat N. 🟨,
- 69', Arias U. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
- 76', Joao Victor ↓, Bolanos M. ↑,
- 77', Sciberras G. ↓, Farrugia B. ↑,
- 86', Zibo S. ↓, Zammit K. II ↑,
- 90', Linden R. ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
- 90', Dodo ↓, Christie-Davies I. ↑,
- 90+3', Farrugia B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mosta
19.1% | Draw
21% | Marsaxlokk
59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marsaxlokk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mosta - Marsaxlokk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.77 ↓
(6.01) |
4.33 ↓
(4.4) |
1.52 ↑
(1.44) |
9.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 3.
- Mosta is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marsaxlokk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Marsaxlokk is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 2.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mosta won against Marsaxlokk?
Mosta has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Mosta?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mosta - Marsaxlokk were as follows:
17.08.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Mosta
3:1
04.04.2025
Mosta
-
Marsaxlokk
0:4
14.02.2025
Mosta
-
Marsaxlokk
2:1
11.01.2025
Marsaxlokk
-
Mosta
0:3
23.09.2024
Marsaxlokk
-
Mosta
2:4
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Naxxar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Valletta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Gzira | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sliema | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Mosta | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
