Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Borg S. ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Arias U. ⚽,
- 54', Arias U. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Zammit A. ⚽,
- 65', 🟨,
- 71', Azzopardi J. 🟨,
- 71', Zammit A. ↓, Adebayo A. ↑,
- 71', Yuri ↓, Meijer S. ↑,
- 75', Simkus D. ↓, Christie-Davies I. ↑,
- 83', Paiber B. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
- 83', Minala J. ↓, Kirby J. ↑,
- 87', Thaylor ↓, Brewer S. ↑,
- 90+1', Mihana R. ↓, Attard E. ↑,
- 90+4', Muscat N. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟥,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
27.1% | Draw
29.6% | Valletta
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Marsaxlokk - Valletta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(2.92) |
3.09 ↓
(3.1) |
2.11 ↓
(2.22) |
9.3%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ))
- Marsaxlokk is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Marsaxlokk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Valletta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Valletta?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valletta won against Marsaxlokk?
Valletta has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Valletta were as follows:
20.12.2025
Valletta
-
Marsaxlokk
1:0
12.09.2025
Valletta
-
Marsaxlokk
3:1
25.02.2024
Valletta
-
Marsaxlokk
0:2
22.10.2023
Marsaxlokk
-
Valletta
0:1
26.08.2023
Valletta
-
Marsaxlokk
0:1
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Valletta
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Naxxar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Valletta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Gzira | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sliema | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Mosta | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
