Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gor Mahia
69.4% | Draw
21.1% | Mathare United
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gor Mahia's performance.Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Gor Mahia - Mathare United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.45) |
4.34 ↑
(3.7) |
9.6 ↑
(7.47) |
9.2%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 4.
- Gor Mahia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Mathare United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mathare United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gor Mahia is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Mathare United?
Gor Mahia has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Gor Mahia?
Mathare United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - Mathare United were as follows:
30.10.2025
Mathare United
-
Gor Mahia
0:2
08.02.2025
Mathare United
-
Gor Mahia
1:2
28.09.2024
Gor Mahia
-
Mathare United
4:0
03.05.2023
Gor Mahia
-
Mathare United
2:1
01.03.2023
Mathare United
-
Gor Mahia
2:1
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Latest results of Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
