Mathare United vs Gor Mahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Mathare United - Gor Mahia
Result
1:2
08/02/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KENYA: Premier League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Asieche E. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Omija A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 76', 1 - 2, Morrison E. ,

Chances of winning


Mathare United
19.5%
Draw
28.7%
Gor Mahia
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 31.2% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 30.1% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathare United's form might have worsened.
  • Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gor Mahia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathare United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gor Mahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mathare United - Gor Mahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.7
    (3.5)
    3.19
    (2.93)
    1.77
    (2.14)
    9.1%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 1.
    • Recent matches Mathare United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gor Mahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mathare United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Gor Mahia will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mathare United won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Gor Mahia were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Gor Mahia - Mathare United 4:0
    03.05.2023 Gor Mahia - Mathare United 2:1
    01.03.2023 Mathare United - Gor Mahia 2:1
    Latest results of Mathare United
    Latest results of Gor Mahia
    01.02.2025 Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers 2:1
    22.01.2025 Gor Mahia - Sofapaka 2:0
    19.01.2025 Tusker - Gor Mahia 2:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Posta RangersNaivas FC0 : 1, 2 : 0