Mathare United vs Muranga Seal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
10/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Haki V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+6', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Mathare United
28.1%
Draw
31.5%
Muranga Seal
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 31.4% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 31.9% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathare United's form might have worsened.
  • Muranga Seal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muranga Seal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathare United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muranga Seal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mathare United - Muranga Seal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.39)
    2.87
    (2.89)
    2.24
    (2.95)
    10.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Mathare United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Muranga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mathare United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Muranga Seal were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Muranga Seal - Mathare United 1:1
    10.12.2024 Mathare United - Muranga Seal 0:2
    Latest results of Mathare United
    Latest results of Muranga Seal
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia22154338:152349
    2Leopards22127330:141643
    3Shabana23117528:23540
    4Kakamega Homeboyz22108434:231138
    5Police FC23910420:14637
    6Muranga23106731:25636
    7Tusker23104921:24-334
    8Bandari23711519:17232
    9KCB2295822:23-132
    10Nairobi United1985625:20529
    11Mara Sugar22610623:23028
    12Mathare Utd23751117:22-526
    13Posta Rangers2259818:27-924
    14Kariobangi Sharks23410915:25-1022
    15Bidco United23481115:27-1220
    16Ulinzi Stars23471219:26-719
    17APS Bomet23471223:32-919
    18Sofapaka23351515:33-1814

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