Result
1:0
17/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 0, Okoth D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
42.9% | Draw
31.6% | Sofapaka
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mathare United - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.51) |
2.88 ↑
(2.86) |
3.56 ↑
(2.9) |
10.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mathare United - Sofapaka?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mathare United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sofapaka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
- Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sofapaka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sofapaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Sofapaka?
Mathare United has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Mathare United?
Sofapaka has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Sofapaka were as follows:
02.05.2025
Sofapaka
-
Mathare United
1:1
21.09.2024
Mathare United
-
Sofapaka
1:1
08.03.2023
Sofapaka
-
Mathare United
1:0
08.01.2023
Mathare United
-
Sofapaka
0:4
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Leopards | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 24 |
| 2 | Tusker | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 24 |
| 3 | Gor Mahia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Shabana | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 23 |
| 5 | Police FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | KCB | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 8 | Posta Rangers | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | Muranga | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Mara Sugar | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 18 |
| 11 | Mathare Utd | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9:12 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Bandari | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Nairobi United | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 16 |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Sofapaka | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 | Kariobangi Sharks | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
