Result
1:0
17/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 0, Okoth D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
42.9% | Draw
31.6% | Sofapaka
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathare United's performance.Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sofapaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Mathare United - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.51) |
2.88 ↑
(2.86) |
3.56 ↑
(2.9) |
10.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mathare United - Sofapaka?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mathare United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sofapaka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
- Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sofapaka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sofapaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Sofapaka?
Mathare United has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Mathare United?
Sofapaka has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Sofapaka were as follows:
02.05.2025
Sofapaka
-
Mathare United
1:1
21.09.2024
Mathare United
-
Sofapaka
1:1
08.03.2023
Sofapaka
-
Mathare United
1:0
08.01.2023
Mathare United
-
Sofapaka
0:4
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
