Result
1:0
17/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 0, Okoth D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mathare United
42.9% | Draw
31.6% | Sofapaka
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathare United's performance.Sofapaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sofapaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Mathare United - Sofapaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.51) |
2.88 ↑
(2.86) |
3.56 ↑
(2.9) |
10.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mathare United - Sofapaka?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mathare United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sofapaka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
- Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sofapaka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sofapaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Sofapaka?
Mathare United has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sofapaka won against Mathare United?
Sofapaka has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Sofapaka were as follows:
02.05.2025
Sofapaka
-
Mathare United
1:1
21.09.2024
Mathare United
-
Sofapaka
1:1
08.03.2023
Sofapaka
-
Mathare United
1:0
08.01.2023
Mathare United
-
Sofapaka
0:4
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Sofapaka
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
