Sofapaka vs Mathare United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Sofapaka - Mathare United
Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 75', 1 - 0, Ondimo E. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Masika M. W. ,

Chances of winning


Sofapaka
50.3%
Draw
28%
Mathare United
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 29.3% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 28.2% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofapaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofapaka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Sofapaka - Mathare United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2)
    3.25
    (3.12)
    4.21
    (3.67)
    9.8%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sofapaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sofapaka won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sofapaka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sofapaka - Mathare United were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Mathare United - Sofapaka 1:1
    08.03.2023 Sofapaka - Mathare United 1:0
    08.01.2023 Mathare United - Sofapaka 0:4
    Latest results of Sofapaka
    19.04.2025 Sofapaka - Gor Mahia 1:1
    04.04.2025 Ulinzi Stars - Sofapaka 0:1
    28.03.2025 Talanta - Sofapaka 2:0
    Latest results of Mathare United
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Posta RangersNaivas FC0 : 1, 2 : 0