Mathare United vs Sofapaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 1 - 0, Okoth D. ,

Chances of winning


Mathare United
42.9%
Draw
31.6%
Sofapaka
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 32% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 30.7% 30.4%

Mathare United - Sofapaka Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.12
(2.51)
2.88
(2.86)
3.56
(2.9)
10.2%
(9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mathare United - Sofapaka?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mathare United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sofapaka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sofapaka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
    • Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sofapaka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sofapaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Sofapaka were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Sofapaka - Mathare United 1:1
    21.09.2024 Mathare United - Sofapaka 1:1
    08.03.2023 Sofapaka - Mathare United 1:0
    08.01.2023 Mathare United - Sofapaka 0:4
    Latest results of Mathare United
    Latest results of Sofapaka
    14.12.2025 Sofapaka - Tusker 0:2
    07.12.2025 Kenya CB - Sofapaka 1:0
    29.11.2025 Sofapaka - APS Bomet 0:0
    24.11.2025 Sofapaka - Ulinzi Stars 1:3
    15.11.2025 Bandari - Sofapaka 2:0
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia16103325:111433
    2Leopards1796222:111133
    3Kakamega Homeboyz1776422:17527
    4Shabana1776419:15427
    5Police FC1667313:11225
    6KCB1774617:16125
    7Muranga1766521:18324
    8Nairobi United1573519:16324
    9Tusker1773714:17-324
    10Bandari1658314:11323
    11Posta Rangers1757515:20-522
    12Mathare Utd1763810:14-421
    13Mara Sugar1748513:15-220
    14Ulinzi Stars1745816:18-217
    15Bidco United173689:15-615
    16APS Bomet1635815:21-614
    17Sofapaka1735912:19-714
    18Kariobangi Sharks1727810:21-1113

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