Mazatlan vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Mazatlan - Toluca
Result
2:1
24/01/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.360.91
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
515
Shots on Goal
310
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
23
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Goalkeeper Saves
91
Free Kicks
1714
Offsides
32
Fouls
1417
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
1525
Touches in the Opposition Box
1023
Passes
77% (344/446)80% (413/514)
Passes in the final third
63% (83/131)68% (82/120)
Crosses
42% (5/12)40% (6/15)
Tackles
65% (17/26)75% (21/28)
Clearances Total
3122
Interceptions
1111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Almada F. , Amarilla L. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Ruiz M. , Vega A. (A),
  • 41', Gallardo J. 🟨,
  • 44', Pereira F. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Helinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Paulinho , Morales R. ,
  • 59', Merolla L. 🟨,
  • 70', Duarte A. , Moreno Villegas O. F. ,
  • 70', Sierra J. , Meraz R. ,
  • 76', Merolla L. , Samir Caetano ,
  • 76', Colula B. , Esquivel J. ,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Amarilla L. , Esquivel J. (A),
  • 81', Diaz J. , Sanchez L. ,
  • 81', Gallardo J. , Angulo J. ,
  • 81', Romero F. , Lopez I. ,
  • 83', Vega A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mazatlan
30.6%
Draw
26.7%
Toluca
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 27.7% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Mazatlan - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (3.36)
    3.53
    (3.41)
    2.21
    (2.13)
    6.2%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Toluca?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Toluca will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toluca: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 1.
    • Recent matches Toluca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Toluca will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mazatlan: Benedetti N. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Toluca: Escobar J. (Health problems)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:24 (average 1.1:2.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Toluca were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Mazatlan - Toluca 1:3
    17.07.2024 Toluca - Mazatlan 3:0
    20.01.2024 Toluca - Mazatlan 4:1
    10.11.2023 Mazatlan - Toluca 1:0
    12.03.2023 Toluca - Mazatlan 4:1
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    17.01.2025 Tigres UANL - Mazatlan 2:1
    10.01.2025 Mazatlan - Juárez 1:1
    04.01.2025 Mazatlan - Toluca 1:3
    08.11.2024 Mazatlan - UNAM 0:1
    05.11.2024 Club León - Mazatlan 0:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    18.01.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 1:1
    10.01.2025 Tijuana - Toluca 2:4
    04.01.2025 Mazatlan - Toluca 1:3
    30.11.2024 Toluca - Club América 0:2
    27.11.2024 Club América - Toluca 2:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pachuca33007:259
    2Toluca320110:736
    3Tigres UANL22005:326
    4Monterrey32014:406
    5Cruz Azul31207:435
    6Club America31205:325
    7Necaxa31115:504
    8Mazatlan FC31112:204
    9Atlas31117:8-14
    10Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    11Santos Laguna31025:503
    12Guadalajara Chivas21014:403
    13Atl. San Luis31024:5-13
    14Puebla31024:5-13
    15UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    16Club Leon31022:5-33
    17Juarez30212:3-12
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

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