Result
2:1
24/01/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (344/446) | 80% (413/514) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (83/131) | 68% (82/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 40% (6/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 75% (21/28) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Almada F. ⚽, Amarilla L. (A),
- 20', 1 - 1, Ruiz M. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
- 41', Gallardo J. 🟨,
- 44', Pereira F. 🟨,
- 45+6', Helinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paulinho ↓, Morales R. ↑,
- 59', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 70', Duarte A. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
- 70', Sierra J. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 76', Merolla L. ↓, Samir Caetano ↑,
- 76', Colula B. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Amarilla L. ⚽, Esquivel J. (A),
- 81', Diaz J. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
- 81', Gallardo J. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 81', Romero F. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 83', Vega A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
30.6% | Draw
26.7% | Toluca
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Mazatlan - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↓
(3.36) |
3.53 ↑
(3.41) |
2.21 ↑
(2.13) |
6.2%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Toluca?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Toluca will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toluca: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 1.
- Recent matches Toluca is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Toluca will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Benedetti N.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Toluca: Escobar J.
(Health problems)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:24 (average 1.1:2.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Toluca?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Mazatlan?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Toluca were as follows:
04.01.2025
Mazatlan
-
Toluca
1:3
17.07.2024
Toluca
-
Mazatlan
3:0
20.01.2024
Toluca
-
Mazatlan
4:1
10.11.2023
Mazatlan
-
Toluca
1:0
12.03.2023
Toluca
-
Mazatlan
4:1
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
