Result
17/04/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
50.3% | Draw
23% | Newcastle Jets
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↓
(1.93) |
4.14 ↓
(4.24) |
3.53 ↑
(3.37) |
5.4%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Newcastle is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Melbourne Victory may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Melbourne Victory might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Melbourne Victory?
Newcastle Jets has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
24.10.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
5:2
04.05.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Newcastle Jets
1:1
08.02.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
03.02.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
29.10.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Newcastle Jets
5:3
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
