Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
24/10/2025 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 2
  • Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.502.17
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
84% (464/552)78% (370/473)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.502.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.212.11
Total shots
1717
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
1212
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
4321
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
97
Passes
84% (464/552)78% (370/473)
Long passes
40% (16/40)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
77% (126/163)64% (89/139)
Crosses
25% (3/12)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.730.71
Throw-ins
3526
Fouls
79
Tackles
63% (12/19)57% (21/37)
Duels won
5364
Clearances
3025
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.113.21
Goals prevented
0.11-1.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Gibson B. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Badolato A. ,
  • 25', 2 - 1, Genreau D. ,
  • 35', Davidson J. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 3 - 1, Badolato A. , Dobson W. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Esposito S. , Rawlins J. ,
  • 46', Clarismario , Rawlins J. ,
  • 55', 3 - 2, Jelacic K. , Genreau D. (A),
  • 56', Gibson B. , Rose L. ,
  • 57', Dobson W. , Fryer O. ,
  • 69', Stella X. , Mata J. ,
  • 70', Bertoncello X. , Bracco C. ,
  • 70', Aquilina T. , Bertolissio J. ,
  • 79', 4 - 2, Badolato A. ,
  • 84', Vergos N. , Machar Reec J. ,
  • 90+1', 5 - 2, Fryer O. , Wilmering D. (A),
  • 90+2', Valadon J. , Dragicevic O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newcastle Jets
31.8%
Draw
24.5%
Melbourne Victory
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 23.8% 46.8%

Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3
(3.13)
3.83
(3.88)
2.15
(1.97)
6.1%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 6.6%60%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Melbourne Victory (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Melbourne Victory (1.96) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
    • Melbourne Victory is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets 1:1
    08.02.2025 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory 3:0
    03.02.2024 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory 1:1
    29.10.2023 Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets 5:3
    17.07.2023 Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory 3:2
    Latest results of Newcastle Jets
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auckland FC1373319:13624
    2Sydney FC1271418:9922
    3Newcastle Jets1370626:24221
    4Brisbane Roar1463513:13021
    5Melbourne City1455414:12220
    6Macarthur FC1455415:18-320
    7Adelaide United1361620:20019
    8Wellington Phoenix1353521:22-118
    9Melbourne Victory1352616:18-217
    10Perth Glory1351716:18-216
    11Central Coast Mariners1333716:21-512
    12WS Wanderers1333710:16-612

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