Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 29
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport Premier League |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (453/537) | 81% (303/374) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (453/537) | 81% (303/374) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 39% (15/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (176/219) | 73% (61/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', M'Mombwa C. ↓, Bayliss L. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Bos K. ⚽, Machach Z. (A),
- 60', Mizunuma K. 🟨,
- 66', Adams E. ↓, Ingham D. ↑,
- 67', Valadon J. 🟨,
- 69', Arzani D. ↓, Badolato A. ↑,
- 69', Valadon J. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
- 70', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 75', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, Gibson B. (A),
- 88', Machach Z. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
- 88', Jackson L. ↓, Hamill B. ↑,
- 89', Mizunuma K. ↓, Wellissol ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
60% | Draw
19.9% | Newcastle Jets
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Victory's form might have worsened.Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Jets's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.41) |
4.79 ↓
(5.21) |
4.71 ↓
(6.41) |
5.3%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Newcastle will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Newcastle (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 1.
- Melbourne Victory has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Newcastle is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Langerak M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Melbourne Victory?
Newcastle Jets has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
08.02.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
03.02.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
29.10.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Newcastle Jets
5:3
17.07.2023
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
3:2
11.02.2023
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
2:1
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
