Result
 
                    5:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        24/10/2025 at  04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  A-League - Round 2
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ | 
|  Finland | Veikkaus TV | 
|  Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL | 
|  Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV | 
|  United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 | 
|  Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.17 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 53% | 47% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 84% (464/552) | 78% (370/473) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.17 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 3.21 | 2.11 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 12 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 43 | 21 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 84% (464/552) | 78% (370/473) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 43% (24/56) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 77% (126/163) | 64% (89/139) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 32% (7/22) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.71 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 35 | 26 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 7 | 9 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 57% (21/37) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 53 | 64 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 30 | 25 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 9 | 9 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.11 | 3.21 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.79 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Gibson B. ⚽, 
- 20', 2 - 0, Badolato A. ⚽, 
- 25', 2 - 1, Genreau D. ⚽, 
- 35', Davidson J. 🟨, 
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Badolato A. ⚽, Dobson W. (A), 
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Esposito S. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑, 
- 46', Clarismario ↓, Rawlins J. ↑, 
- 55', 3 - 2, Jelacic K. ⚽, Genreau D. (A), 
- 56', Gibson B. ↓, Rose L. ↑, 
- 57', Dobson W. ↓, Fryer O. ↑, 
- 69', Stella X. ↓, Mata J. ↑, 
- 70', Bertoncello X. ↓, Bracco C. ↑, 
- 70', Aquilina T. ↓, Bertolissio J. ↑, 
- 79', 4 - 2, Badolato A. ⚽, 
- 84', Vergos N. ↓, Machar Reec J. ↑, 
- 90+1', 5 - 2, Fryer O. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A), 
- 90+2', Valadon J. ↓, Dragicevic O. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Newcastle Jets 31.8%
 | Draw 24.5%
 | Melbourne Victory 43.7%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3 ↓ (3.13)
 | 3.83 ↓ (3.88)
 | 2.15 ↑ (1.97)
 | 6.1% (8.6%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            12 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 6.6% – 60%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Melbourne Victory (votes: 3 - 100%). 
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.  
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
- Melbourne Victory is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Melbourne Victory?
                    
                    
                        
                            Newcastle Jets has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Newcastle Jets?
                    
                    
                        
                             Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
                                                        
                                04.05.2025 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                - 
                                Newcastle Jets 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.02.2025 
                                Newcastle Jets 
                                - 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.02.2024 
                                Newcastle Jets 
                                - 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.10.2023 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                - 
                                Newcastle Jets 
                                5:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                17.07.2023 
                                Newcastle Jets 
                                - 
                                Melbourne Victory 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Newcastle Jets                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Melbourne Victory                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Australian A-League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Melbourne City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 | 
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 | 
| 3 | Auckland FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 | 
| 4 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 3 | 
| 5 | Sydney FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 | 
| 6 | Adelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 7 | Brisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 | 
| 8 | Central Coast Mariners | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | 
| 9 | WS Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | 
| 10 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 | 
| 11 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | 
| 12 | Macarthur FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | 
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