Result
5:2
24/10/2025 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 2
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (464/552) | 78% (370/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (464/552) | 78% (370/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (16/40) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (126/163) | 64% (89/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 57% (21/37) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 3.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Gibson B. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 0, Badolato A. ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 1, Genreau D. ⚽,
- 35', Davidson J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Badolato A. ⚽, Dobson W. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Esposito S. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
- 46', Clarismario ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 2, Jelacic K. ⚽, Genreau D. (A),
- 56', Gibson B. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
- 57', Dobson W. ↓, Fryer O. ↑,
- 69', Stella X. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
- 70', Bertoncello X. ↓, Bracco C. ↑,
- 70', Aquilina T. ↓, Bertolissio J. ↑,
- 79', 4 - 2, Badolato A. ⚽,
- 84', Vergos N. ↓, Machar Reec J. ↑,
- 90+1', 5 - 2, Fryer O. ⚽, Wilmering D. (A),
- 90+2', Valadon J. ↓, Dragicevic O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
31.8% | Draw
24.5% | Melbourne Victory
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↓
(3.13) |
3.83 ↓
(3.88) |
2.15 ↑
(1.97) |
6.1%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 6.6% – 60%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Melbourne Victory (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Melbourne Victory (1.96) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 2.
- Melbourne Victory is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Melbourne Victory?
Newcastle Jets has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
04.05.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Newcastle Jets
1:1
08.02.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
03.02.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
29.10.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Newcastle Jets
5:3
17.07.2023
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne Victory
3:2
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 37:28 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Macarthur FC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 21 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Wellington Phoenix | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26:31 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 16 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
