Binissalem vs Mercadal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Binissalem
37.3%
Draw
31.5%
Mercadal
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 28.9% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 29.4% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Binissalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Binissalem - Mercadal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.34)
    2.92
    (3.15)
    2.95
    (2.84)
    8.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binissalem won 4.
    • Binissalem is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mercadal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mercadal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Binissalem won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Binissalem won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Binissalem - Mercadal were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Binissalem - Mercadal 2:0
    03.02.2024 Mercadal - Binissalem 2:1
    17.09.2023 Binissalem - Mercadal 2:0
    15.04.2023 Binissalem - Mercadal 2:1
    17.12.2022 Mercadal - Binissalem 0:1
    Latest results of Binissalem
    18.10.2025 Constancia - Binissalem 3:0
    28.09.2025 Portmany - Binissalem 2:1
    14.09.2025 Collerense - Binissalem 4:1
    Latest results of Mercadal
    19.10.2025 Mercadal - Felanitx 1:0
    12.10.2025 Peña Deportiva - Mercadal 2:1
    04.10.2025 Mercadal - Portmany 2:0
    27.09.2025 Rotlet Molinar - Mercadal 0:0
    21.09.2025 Mercadal - Collerense 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manacor23192251:232859
    2Mallorca B23183264:145057
    3Pena Deportiva22154345:172849
    4Llosetense23116636:28839
    5Constancia22104830:21934
    6Cardassar2396826:35-933
    7Mercadal20102820:18232
    8Inter Ibiza22931026:29-330
    9Binissalem2378816:22-629
    10Alcudia23921224:38-1429
    11Platges de Calvia22841027:26128
    12Santanyi23841130:43-1328
    13Formentera2269719:19027
    14Son Cladera22641222:33-1122
    15Portmany22631315:31-1621
    16Felanitx23471218:32-1419
    17Rotlet Molinar22351420:39-1914
    18Collerense22181324:45-2111

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