Result
2:3
19/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 15', Dunabeitia A. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Perez A. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, Sanz I. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
- 29', 1 - 2, Capitas M. ⚽, Areso J. (A),
- 44', 2 - 2, Areso J. ⚽,
- 45+1', Lete E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pareja L. ↓, Lancho J. ↑,
- 66', Pipe ↓, Chiqui ↑,
- 73', Perez A. ↓, Huestamendia P. ↑,
- 73', Gift E. ↓, Bujan E. ↑,
- 76', Areso J. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 3, Garcia E. ⚽,
- 83', Martinez G. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 86', Capitas M. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
- 86', Areso J. ↓, Artola J. ↑,
- 90', Sanz I. ↓, Vizcay T. ↑,
- 90', Barandalla M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
39.3% | Draw
29.3% | Athletic Bilbao B
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Mérida AD - Athletic Bilbao B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(2.1) |
3.12 ↓
(3.41) |
2.92 ↓
(3.24) |
9.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Athletic Bilbao B?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Mérida AD will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 9)
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Athletic Bilbao B?
Mérida AD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao B won against Mérida AD?
Athletic Bilbao B has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Athletic Bilbao B were as follows:
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 47:15 | 32 | 58 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 4 | Lugo | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 40 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | AD Merida | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Unionistas | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Zamora | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
