Mérida AD vs Osasuna B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
86
Yellow cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
77
Corner kicks
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 🟨,
  • 10', 🟨,
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Chiqui ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Capitas M. , Rivas M. ,
  • 62', Echegoyen M. , Arrasate I. ,
  • 63', Pedroarena M. , Arroyo R. ,
  • 63', Chiqui , Artola J. ,
  • 71', Lumbreras C. , Bonel A. ,
  • 78', Ruiz R. C. , Garin X. ,
  • 84', Dibrani B. , Miki ,
  • 85', Areso J. , Pareja L. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 89', Martinez G. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+9', Rivas M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Rivas M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
54.1%
Draw
26.4%
Osasuna B
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 27.1% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 22% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • The chances for Osasuna B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Mérida AD - Osasuna B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.74)
    3.44
    (3.42)
    4.63
    (4.75)
    9.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Osasuna B?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Osasuna B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Osasuna B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mérida AD is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    03.01.2026 Lugo - Mérida AD 1:0
    07.12.2025 Mérida AD - Ourense CF 3:2
    29.11.2025 Ferrol - Mérida AD 2:2
    Latest results of Osasuna B
    04.01.2026 Osasuna B - Tenerife 0:2
    21.12.2025 Arenteiro - Osasuna B 2:0
    13.12.2025 Osasuna B - Lugo 0:0
    07.12.2025 CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B 1:0
    30.11.2025 Osasuna B - Zamora 1:3
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

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