Mérida AD vs Osasuna B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
86
Yellow cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
77
Corner kicks
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 🟨,
  • 10', 🟨,
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Chiqui ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Capitas M. , Rivas M. ,
  • 62', Echegoyen M. , Arrasate I. ,
  • 63', Pedroarena M. , Arroyo R. ,
  • 63', Chiqui , Artola J. ,
  • 71', Lumbreras C. , Bonel A. ,
  • 78', Ruiz R. C. , Garin X. ,
  • 84', Dibrani B. , Miki ,
  • 85', Areso J. , Pareja L. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 89', Martinez G. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+9', Rivas M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Rivas M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
54.1%
Draw
26.4%
Osasuna B
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 27.1% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 22% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • The chances for Osasuna B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Mérida AD - Osasuna B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.74)
    3.44
    (3.42)
    4.63
    (4.75)
    9.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Osasuna B?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Osasuna B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Osasuna B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mérida AD is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    03.01.2026 Lugo - Mérida AD 1:0
    07.12.2025 Mérida AD - Ourense CF 3:2
    29.11.2025 Ferrol - Mérida AD 2:2
    Latest results of Osasuna B
    04.01.2026 Osasuna B - Tenerife 0:2
    21.12.2025 Arenteiro - Osasuna B 2:0
    13.12.2025 Osasuna B - Lugo 0:0
    07.12.2025 CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B 1:0
    30.11.2025 Osasuna B - Zamora 1:3
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

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