Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Pareja L. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Guerrero A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 🟨,
- 54', Doncel C. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
- 63', Ramos J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 63', Solar M. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
- 66', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 68', Dibrani B. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 1, Verges E. ⚽,
- 74', Prado M. 🟨,
- 75', 🟨,
- 77', Castillo N. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
- 77', Guerrero A. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 84', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
- 84', Prado M. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Csenterics A. (Own goal),
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
42.9% | Draw
30.2% | Ourense CF
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mérida AD - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.94) |
3.03 ↓
(3.29) |
3.33 ↓
(3.9) |
9.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Ourense CF?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mérida AD will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ourense CF (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
- Mérida AD is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ourense CF is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mérida AD is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Ourense CF?
Mérida AD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Mérida AD?
Ourense CF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Ourense CF were as follows:
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 36:10 | 26 | 47 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 30:24 | 6 | 37 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 34 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 32 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23:25 | -2 | 31 |
| 6 | Zamora | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 30 |
| 7 | Real Aviles | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Racing Club Ferrol | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 30 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 29 |
| 10 | Lugo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Ourense CF | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 25 |
| 13 | Unionistas | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:27 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Ponferradina | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 23 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
| 17 | Arenteiro | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15:22 | -7 | 20 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:28 | -10 | 19 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 18 |
| 20 | Guadalajara | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
