Mérida AD vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
147
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Pareja L. ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Guerrero A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 54', Doncel C. , Areso J. ,
  • 63', Ramos J. , Munoz D. ,
  • 63', Solar M. , Capitas M. ,
  • 66', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 68', Dibrani B. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Verges E. ,
  • 74', Prado M. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 77', Castillo N. , Camus M. ,
  • 77', Guerrero A. , Punzano I. ,
  • 84', Ouhdadi O. , Moreno C. ,
  • 84', Prado M. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Csenterics A. (Own goal),
  • 90+6', 3 - 2, Garcia A. ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
42.9%
Draw
30.2%
Ourense CF
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 28.3% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 28.5% 23.6%

Mérida AD - Ourense CF Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(1.94)
3.03
(3.29)
3.33
(3.9)
9.2%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Ourense CF?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mérida AD will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ourense CF (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
    • Mérida AD is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ourense CF is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mérida AD is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    03.12.2025 Ourense CF - Girona 2:1
    22.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ourense CF 0:2
    12.11.2025 Zamora - Ourense CF 0:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife15102329:101932
    2Racing Club Ferrol1583420:15527
    3Celta Vigo B1583422:18427
    4Real Madrid B1581619:19025
    5Real Aviles1573524:21324
    6Merida AD1573523:21224
    7Ath Bilbao B1564517:19-222
    8Pontevedra1556417:15221
    9Arenas Getxo1563618:21-321
    10Zamora1555520:19120
    11Unionistas1554618:17119
    12Barakaldo1547417:17019
    13Lugo1547413:13019
    14Ourense CF1546517:18-118
    15Ponferradina1545616:16017
    16Osasuna B1545612:16-417
    17Guadalajara1545615:21-617
    18Cacereno1535711:20-914
    19Arenteiro153489:16-713
    20CF Talavera1533914:19-512

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation