Mérida AD vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
147
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Pareja L. ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Guerrero A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 54', Doncel C. , Areso J. ,
  • 63', Ramos J. , Munoz D. ,
  • 63', Solar M. , Capitas M. ,
  • 66', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 68', Dibrani B. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Verges E. ,
  • 74', Prado M. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 77', Castillo N. , Camus M. ,
  • 77', Guerrero A. , Punzano I. ,
  • 84', Ouhdadi O. , Moreno C. ,
  • 84', Prado M. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Csenterics A. (Own goal),
  • 90+6', 3 - 2, Garcia A. ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
42.9%
Draw
30.2%
Ourense CF
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 28.3% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 28.5% 23.6%

Mérida AD - Ourense CF Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(1.94)
3.03
(3.29)
3.33
(3.9)
9.2%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Ourense CF?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mérida AD will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ourense CF (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
    • Mérida AD is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ourense CF is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mérida AD is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    03.12.2025 Ourense CF - Girona 2:1
    22.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ourense CF 0:2
    12.11.2025 Zamora - Ourense CF 0:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife23173344:123254
    2Celta Vigo B23126535:27842
    3Pontevedra23109431:181339
    4Ath Bilbao B23106726:26036
    5AD Merida23105833:30335
    6Zamora2397730:27334
    7Racing Club Ferrol23104927:26134
    8Real Madrid B23104929:31-234
    9Barakaldo2389630:25533
    10Lugo2389622:21133
    11Ponferradina2386925:22330
    12Unionistas2386930:30030
    13Real Aviles23931134:38-430
    14Arenas Getxo23931128:33-530
    15Ourense CF23671025:29-425
    16Arenteiro23661122:28-624
    17Cacereno2359921:30-924
    18CF Talavera23641323:34-1122
    19Guadalajara23561221:37-1621
    20Osasuna B23481117:29-1220

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