Mérida AD vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
147
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Pareja L. ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Guerrero A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 54', Doncel C. , Areso J. ,
  • 63', Ramos J. , Munoz D. ,
  • 63', Solar M. , Capitas M. ,
  • 66', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 68', Dibrani B. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Verges E. ,
  • 74', Prado M. 🟨,
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 77', Castillo N. , Camus M. ,
  • 77', Guerrero A. , Punzano I. ,
  • 84', Ouhdadi O. , Moreno C. ,
  • 84', Prado M. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 85', 2 - 2, Csenterics A. (Own goal),
  • 90+6', 3 - 2, Garcia A. ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
42.9%
Draw
30.2%
Ourense CF
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 28.3% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 28.5% 23.6%

Mérida AD - Ourense CF Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(1.94)
3.03
(3.29)
3.33
(3.9)
9.2%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Ourense CF?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mérida AD will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ourense CF (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
    • Mérida AD is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ourense CF is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mérida AD is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    03.12.2025 Ourense CF - Girona 2:1
    22.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ourense CF 0:2
    12.11.2025 Zamora - Ourense CF 0:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife17122332:102238
    2Celta Vigo B17103425:19633
    3Racing Club Ferrol1793523:18530
    4Real Madrid B1791722:21128
    5Pontevedra1776420:15527
    6Real Aviles1783626:23327
    7Zamora1775525:21426
    8Ath Bilbao B1774621:23-225
    9Merida AD1773726:26024
    10Lugo1758415:14123
    11Arenas Getxo1763819:25-621
    12Unionistas1755721:21020
    13Barakaldo1748519:20-120
    14Ourense CF1747620:22-219
    15Arenteiro1754814:17-319
    16CF Talavera1753918:21-318
    17Osasuna B1746712:18-618
    18Ponferradina1745817:21-417
    19Guadalajara1745818:27-917
    20Cacereno1736813:24-1115

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