Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Beneit R. ⚽,
- 31', Bosch M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Pino Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Eimil V. ↓, Comparada Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 58', Ribeiro A. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 69', 🟥,
- 73', Artola J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 76', Dibrani B. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
- 77', Resende J. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
- 78', Abelenda B. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
- 80', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 82', 🟨,
- 86', Artola J. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 86', Solar M. ↓, Herranz Corral V. ↑,
- 86', Areso J. ↓, Pipe ↑,
- 87', Pipe 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Comparada Gonzalez A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
38.9% | Draw
30.9% | Pontevedra
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-1%)
Mérida AD - Pontevedra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.24) |
2.94 ↓
(3.18) |
3.02 ↓
(3.16) |
9.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Pontevedra?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pontevedra is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Pontevedra?
Mérida AD has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontevedra won against Mérida AD?
Pontevedra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Pontevedra were as follows:
15.11.2025
Pontevedra
-
Mérida AD
1:1
15.04.2023
Pontevedra
-
Mérida AD
1:5
01.10.2022
Mérida AD
-
Pontevedra
2:0
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Pontevedra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 47:15 | 32 | 58 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 4 | Lugo | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 40 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | AD Merida | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Unionistas | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Zamora | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
