Mérida AD vs Pontevedra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
53
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
11
Total shots
83
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
31
Corner kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Beneit R. ,
  • 31', Bosch M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Pino Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Eimil V. , Comparada Gonzalez A. ,
  • 58', Ribeiro A. , Perez A. ,
  • 69', 🟥,
  • 73', Artola J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 76', Dibrani B. , Capitas M. ,
  • 77', Resende J. , Macias L. ,
  • 78', Abelenda B. , Gil A. ,
  • 80', Martinez G. 🟨,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 86', Artola J. , Rivas M. ,
  • 86', Solar M. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 86', Areso J. , Pipe ,
  • 87', Pipe 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Comparada Gonzalez A. ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
38.9%
Draw
30.9%
Pontevedra
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 29.2% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 29.4% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Mérida AD - Pontevedra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.24)
    2.94
    (3.18)
    3.02
    (3.16)
    9.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Pontevedra?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pontevedra is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Pontevedra were as follows:
    15.11.2025 Pontevedra - Mérida AD 1:1
    15.04.2023 Pontevedra - Mérida AD 1:5
    01.10.2022 Mérida AD - Pontevedra 2:0
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Pontevedra
    17.01.2026 Pontevedra - Arenteiro 1:1
    10.01.2026 Real Avilés - Pontevedra 0:3
    03.01.2026 Pontevedra - Ferrol 2:1
    21.12.2025 Barakaldo - Pontevedra 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

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