Merthyr Town vs Hereford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
30/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Rees R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Hudson L. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Jarvis C. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Howkins K. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
49.4%
Draw
23.2%
Hereford
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 23.5% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 23% 31.3%

Merthyr Town - Hereford Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.84
(2.09)
3.93
(3.95)
3.34
(2.9)
9.7%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Hereford?
  • Users Predictions: Merthyr Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • Merthyr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hereford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Merthyr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    26.12.2025 Oxford City - Merthyr Town 1:3
    06.12.2025 Fylde - Merthyr Town 1:0
    29.11.2025 Buxton - Merthyr Town 1:2
    25.11.2025 Merthyr Town - Leamington 4:1
    Latest results of Hereford
    20.12.2025 Chorley - Hereford 4:2
    13.12.2025 Hereford - Radcliffe 2:1
    29.11.2025 Hereford - Marine Postponed
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields24174354:193555
    2AFC Fylde24163553:292451
    3Merthyr Town24152756:411547
    4Kidderminster24127533:27643
    5Radcliffe23124749:321740
    6Darlington24106845:39636
    7Scarborough23106733:30336
    8Curzon Ashton2497841:38334
    9Spennymoor2397732:37-534
    10Marine23104927:32-534
    11Chorley2496940:35533
    12Buxton231031040:36433
    13Chester2389634:34033
    14AFC Telford2488841:37432
    15Macclesfield2186727:30-330
    16Kingu2019s Lynn24610834:35-128
    17Bedford25771140:43-328
    18Worksop24751227:41-1426
    19Southport24581130:41-1123
    20Peterborough Sports24641427:46-1922
    21Alfreton23571119:42-2322
    22Oxford City25561434:42-821
    23Hereford21561026:36-1021
    24Leamington23351518:38-2014

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation