Merthyr Town vs Hereford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
30/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Rees R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Hudson L. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Jarvis C. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Howkins K. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
49.4%
Draw
23.2%
Hereford
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 23.5% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 23% 31.3%

Merthyr Town - Hereford Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.84
(2.09)
3.93
(3.95)
3.34
(2.9)
9.7%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Hereford?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Merthyr (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Merthyr Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • Merthyr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hereford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Merthyr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    26.12.2025 Oxford City - Merthyr Town 1:3
    06.12.2025 Fylde - Merthyr Town 1:0
    29.11.2025 Buxton - Merthyr Town 1:2
    25.11.2025 Merthyr Town - Leamington 4:1
    Latest results of Hereford
    20.12.2025 Chorley - Hereford 4:2
    13.12.2025 Hereford - Radcliffe 2:1
    25.11.2025 Chester - Hereford 1:1
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields30207366:254167
    2AFC Fylde29203667:333463
    3Merthyr Town321831168:551357
    4Kidderminster301410639:34552
    5Radcliffe311541259:50949
    6Macclesfield28146849:40948
    7AFC Telford30138961:421947
    8Darlington29138856:451147
    9Scarborough311210943:39446
    10Curzon Ashton311191151:54-342
    11Marine291261136:44-842
    12Buxton291251252:421041
    13Chorley301181152:46641
    14Chester3210111145:51-641
    15Worksop321081440:54-1438
    16Spennymoor281071137:50-1337
    17Kingu2019s Lynn318111238:41-335
    18Bedford32891548:55-733
    19Peterborough Sports31961638:57-1933
    20Southport317101439:53-1431
    21Oxford City31771738:50-1228
    22Alfreton27681325:49-2426
    23Hereford24571227:41-1422
    24Leamington28471722:46-2419

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation