Merthyr Town vs Hereford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
30/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Rees R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Hudson L. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Jarvis C. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Howkins K. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
49.4%
Draw
23.2%
Hereford
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 23.5% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 23% 31.3%

Merthyr Town - Hereford Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.84
(2.09)
3.93
(3.95)
3.34
(2.9)
9.7%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Hereford?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Merthyr Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • Merthyr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hereford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Merthyr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    26.12.2025 Oxford City - Merthyr Town 1:3
    06.12.2025 Fylde - Merthyr Town 1:0
    29.11.2025 Buxton - Merthyr Town 1:2
    25.11.2025 Merthyr Town - Leamington 4:1
    Latest results of Hereford
    20.12.2025 Chorley - Hereford 4:2
    13.12.2025 Hereford - Radcliffe 2:1
    29.11.2025 Hereford - Marine Postponed
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields27195359:203962
    2AFC Fylde26183557:302757
    3Merthyr Town27182764:442056
    4Kidderminster26138536:29747
    5Radcliffe26134953:391443
    6Scarborough26117836:33340
    7Darlington25116848:40839
    8Buxton261141146:39737
    9Chester27910839:40-137
    10Marine251141030:36-637
    11Macclesfield23106732:31136
    12AFC Telford2598849:371235
    13Chorley2597943:38534
    14Curzon Ashton26971041:47-634
    15Spennymoor2597935:42-734
    16Worksop27861333:48-1530
    17Kingu2019s Lynn26611934:36-229
    18Bedford27771342:48-628
    19Southport27691234:45-1127
    20Oxford City27661536:46-1024
    21Hereford22571026:36-1022
    22Peterborough Sports25641527:48-2122
    23Alfreton24571220:45-2522
    24Leamington24351618:41-2314

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation