Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
136:106
17/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9689
Field goals made
5136
Field goals %
53.13%40.45%
2-point field goals attempts
5453
2-point field goals made
3429
2-point field goals %
62.96%54.72%
3-point field goals attempts
4236
3-point field goals made
177
3-point field goals %
40.48%19.44%
Free throws attempts
2134
Free throws made
1727
Free throws %
81%79.4%
Offensive rebounds
1012
Defensive rebounds
3831
Total rebounds
4843
Assists
3225
Blocks
33
Turnovers
1415
Steals
114
Personal fouls
2522
Technical fouls
10

Highlights

Chances of winning


Charlotte Hornets
64.4%
Miami Heat
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Hornets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlotte Hornets's performance.
  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami Heat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Hornets than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.7)

    2.71
    (2.25)
    3.6%
    (3.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 233.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Miami will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -4.5, OT - Charlotte (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%). Miami (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 119:115.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 1.
    • In recent matches, Charlotte has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Miami is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of home games.
    • Charlotte will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: McNeeley L. (Ankle Injury) Salaun T. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Jovic N. (Lower Back Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended) Wiggins A. (Toe Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 2150:2329. (average 107.5:116.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1073:1110. (average 107.3:111).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat were as follows:
    06.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 120:128
    07.11.2025 Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets 126:108
    28.10.2025 Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets 144:117
    23.03.2025 Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets 122:105
    10.03.2025 Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets 102:105
    Latest results of Charlotte Hornets
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    14.03.2026 Miami Heat - Orlando Magic 117:121
    12.03.2026 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 112:105
    10.03.2026 Miami Heat - Washington Wizards 150:129
    08.03.2026 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 121:110
    06.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 120:128
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )