Result
21/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NBA
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
Chances of winning
Houston Rockets
55.3% | Miami Heat
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Rockets that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Houston Rockets - Miami Heat Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.83) |
|
2.14 ↑
(1.9) |
4.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 227.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Houston Rockets - Miami Heat?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Miami will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 116:113.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Houston: Adams S.
(Ankle Injury)
Tate J.
(Knee Injury)
VanVleet F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J.
(Hip Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
Wiggins A.
(Toe Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2144:2246. (average 107.2:112.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 970:998. (average 107.8:110.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Rockets won against Miami Heat?
Houston Rockets has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Heat won against Houston Rockets?
Miami Heat has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Rockets - Miami Heat were as follows:
28.02.2026
Miami Heat
-
Houston Rockets
115:105
21.03.2025
Miami Heat
-
Houston Rockets
98:102
29.12.2024
Houston Rockets
-
Miami Heat
100:104
05.04.2024
Houston Rockets
-
Miami Heat
104:119
08.01.2024
Miami Heat
-
Houston Rockets
120:113
Latest results of Houston Rockets
Latest results of Miami Heat
NBA Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ | 70 | 55 | 15 | 8294:7524 | 0.786 |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs ✔ | 70 | 52 | 18 | 8314:7809 | 0.743 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 70 | 45 | 25 | 8163:8057 | 0.643 |
| 4 | Houston Rockets | 69 | 42 | 27 | 7858:7573 | 0.609 |
| 5 | Denver Nuggets | 71 | 43 | 28 | 8570:8269 | 0.606 |
| 6 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 71 | 43 | 28 | 8422:8154 | 0.606 |
| 7 | Phoenix Suns | 70 | 39 | 31 | 7856:7785 | 0.557 |
| 8 | Portland Trail Blazers | 71 | 35 | 36 | 8174:8313 | 0.493 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Clippers | 70 | 34 | 36 | 7923:7891 | 0.486 |
| 10 | Golden State Warriors | 70 | 33 | 37 | 8037:8014 | 0.471 |
| 11 | New Orleans Pelicans | 71 | 25 | 46 | 8208:8468 | 0.352 |
| 12 | Memphis Grizzlies | 69 | 24 | 45 | 7981:8183 | 0.348 |
| 13 | Dallas Mavericks | 70 | 23 | 47 | 7928:8292 | 0.329 |
| 14 | Utah Jazz | 70 | 21 | 49 | 8213:8736 | 0.300 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 71 | 18 | 53 | 7869:8590 | 0.254 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Detroit Pistons ✔ | 70 | 51 | 19 | 8216:7667 | 0.729 |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | 70 | 47 | 23 | 8011:7492 | 0.671 |
| 3 | New York Knicks | 71 | 46 | 25 | 8292:7834 | 0.648 |
| 4 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 70 | 43 | 27 | 8336:8037 | 0.614 |
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | 69 | 39 | 30 | 7867:7726 | 0.565 |
| 6 | Orlando Magic | 69 | 38 | 31 | 7966:7895 | 0.551 |
| 7 | Miami Heat | 70 | 38 | 32 | 8420:8199 | 0.543 |
| 8 | Atlanta Hawks | 70 | 38 | 32 | 8242:8163 | 0.543 |
| 9 | Philadelphia 76ers | 70 | 38 | 32 | 8093:8130 | 0.543 |
| 10 | Charlotte Hornets | 70 | 36 | 34 | 8121:7855 | 0.514 |
| 11 | Milwaukee Bucks | 69 | 28 | 41 | 7661:8030 | 0.406 |
| 12 | Chicago Bulls | 70 | 28 | 42 | 8106:8415 | 0.400 |
| 13 | Brooklyn Nets | 70 | 17 | 53 | 7431:8074 | 0.243 |
| 14 | Washington Wizards | 69 | 16 | 53 | 7764:8535 | 0.232 |
| 15 | Indiana Pacers | 70 | 15 | 55 | 7791:8417 | 0.214 |
Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
