Result
28/02/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NBA
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | 6'eren |
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
Chances of winning
Miami Heat
44.9% | Houston Rockets
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.Houston Rockets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houston Rockets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Rockets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miami Heat - Houston Rockets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.43) |
|
1.75 ↑
(1.56) |
3.6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 225.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Houston Rockets?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Houston will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +3, OT - Miami (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5, OT - Miami (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4, OT - Miami (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4.5, OT - Miami (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2, OT - Miami (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5, OT - Miami (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 224.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 10 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 112:115.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
- In recent matches, Miami has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Houston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
- Houston will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Miami: Jovic N.
(Lower Back Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Houston: Adams S.
(Ankle Injury)
Tate J.
(Knee Injury)
VanVleet F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Houston: Smith Jr. J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2221:2138. (average 111.1:106.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1133:1069. (average 113.3:106.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Heat won against Houston Rockets?
Miami Heat has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Rockets won against Miami Heat?
Houston Rockets has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Houston Rockets were as follows:
21.03.2025
Miami Heat
-
Houston Rockets
98:102
29.12.2024
Houston Rockets
-
Miami Heat
100:104
05.04.2024
Houston Rockets
-
Miami Heat
104:119
08.01.2024
Miami Heat
-
Houston Rockets
120:113
20.10.2023
Houston Rockets
-
Miami Heat
110:104
Latest results of Miami Heat
Latest results of Houston Rockets
NBA Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 61 | 46 | 15 | 7288:6601 | 0.754 |
| 2 | San Antonio Spurs | 59 | 43 | 16 | 6989:6593 | 0.729 |
| 3 | Houston Rockets | 58 | 37 | 21 | 6653:6329 | 0.638 |
| 4 | Denver Nuggets | 60 | 37 | 23 | 7232:6956 | 0.617 |
| 5 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 60 | 37 | 23 | 7150:6881 | 0.617 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Lakers | 58 | 34 | 24 | 6698:6722 | 0.586 |
| 7 | Phoenix Suns | 60 | 34 | 26 | 6727:6681 | 0.567 |
| 8 | Golden State Warriors | 59 | 31 | 28 | 6834:6716 | 0.525 |
| 9 | Portland Trail Blazers | 61 | 29 | 32 | 7044:7203 | 0.475 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Clippers | 58 | 27 | 31 | 6477:6510 | 0.466 |
| 11 | Memphis Grizzlies | 58 | 22 | 36 | 6702:6837 | 0.379 |
| 12 | Dallas Mavericks | 59 | 21 | 38 | 6747:6960 | 0.356 |
| 13 | Utah Jazz | 59 | 18 | 41 | 6960:7429 | 0.305 |
| 14 | New Orleans Pelicans | 60 | 18 | 42 | 6903:7220 | 0.300 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 61 | 14 | 47 | 6734:7388 | 0.230 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Detroit Pistons | 58 | 44 | 14 | 6815:6362 | 0.759 |
| 2 | Boston Celtics | 59 | 39 | 20 | 6785:6345 | 0.661 |
| 3 | New York Knicks | 60 | 38 | 22 | 7036:6690 | 0.633 |
| 4 | Cleveland Cavaliers | 61 | 37 | 24 | 7286:7027 | 0.607 |
| 5 | Toronto Raptors | 59 | 34 | 25 | 6704:6595 | 0.576 |
| 6 | Philadelphia 76ers | 59 | 33 | 26 | 6885:6841 | 0.559 |
| 7 | Orlando Magic | 58 | 31 | 27 | 6668:6646 | 0.534 |
| 8 | Miami Heat | 60 | 31 | 29 | 7195:7031 | 0.517 |
| 9 | Charlotte Hornets | 61 | 30 | 31 | 7079:6895 | 0.492 |
| 10 | Atlanta Hawks | 61 | 30 | 31 | 7143:7176 | 0.492 |
| 11 | Milwaukee Bucks | 58 | 26 | 32 | 6502:6705 | 0.448 |
| 12 | Chicago Bulls | 60 | 24 | 36 | 6944:7227 | 0.400 |
| 13 | Washington Wizards | 58 | 16 | 42 | 6493:7123 | 0.276 |
| 14 | Brooklyn Nets | 59 | 15 | 44 | 6315:6820 | 0.254 |
| 15 | Indiana Pacers | 60 | 15 | 45 | 6689:7168 | 0.250 |
Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
