Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
124:133
28/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
88104
Field goals made
4452
Field goals %
50%50%
2-point field goals attempts
5466
2-point field goals made
2936
2-point field goals %
53.7%54.55%
3-point field goals attempts
3438
3-point field goals made
1516
3-point field goals %
44.12%42.11%
Free throws attempts
2317
Free throws made
2113
Free throws %
91.3%76.5%
Offensive rebounds
912
Defensive rebounds
3930
Total rebounds
4842
Assists
2736
Blocks
56
Turnovers
187
Steals
612
Personal fouls
1816
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
58.6%
Orlando Magic
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Orlando Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Magic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orlando Magic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami Heat - Orlando Magic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.72)

    2.34
    (2.12)
    3.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 232.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Orlando Magic?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Orlando will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 48.9%92.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 229, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Miami (1.93) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -3, OT - Miami (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Miami (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 229.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Miami Heat will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 118:115.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0.
    • Recent performances by Miami have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Orlando is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
    • Miami will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended) Ware K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Orlando: Wagner F. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Mitchell D. (Shoulder Injury)
    • We predict that Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2176:2197. (average 108.8:109.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 886:850. (average 110.8:106.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Orlando Magic were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Orlando Magic - Miami Heat 117:108
    05.12.2025 Orlando Magic - Miami Heat 106:105
    22.10.2025 Orlando Magic - Miami Heat 125:121
    12.10.2025 Orlando Magic - Miami Heat 120:104
    04.10.2025 Miami Heat - Orlando Magic 118:126
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    25.01.2026 Phoenix Suns - Miami Heat 102:111
    24.01.2026 Utah Jazz - Miami Heat 116:147
    20.01.2026 Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat 117:130
    Latest results of Orlando Magic
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder5945147045:63560.763
    2San Antonio Spurs5741166753:63760.719
    3Houston Rockets5635216412:61240.625
    4Denver Nuggets5836227008:67450.621
    5Minnesota Timberwolves5936237056:67930.610
    6Los Angeles Lakers5734236588:66090.596
    7Phoenix Suns5933266614:65710.559
    8Golden State Warriors5830286701:66040.517
    9Portland Trail Blazers5928316830:69820.475
    10Los Angeles Clippers5727306389:64160.474
    11Memphis Grizzlies5621356466:65990.375
    12Dallas Mavericks5721366521:67060.368
    13Utah Jazz5818406842:73000.310
    14New Orleans Pelicans5917426774:71020.288
    15Sacramento Kings5913466507:71390.220


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons5642146569:61270.750
    2Boston Celtics5738196553:61310.667
    3New York Knicks5937226909:65920.627
    4Cleveland Cavaliers5937227051:67870.627
    5Toronto Raptors5834246597:64850.586
    6Philadelphia 76ers5832266761:67240.552
    7Orlando Magic5731266560:65330.544
    8Miami Heat5931287078:69070.525
    9Atlanta Hawks6029317017:70800.483
    10Charlotte Hornets5928316837:66930.475
    11Milwaukee Bucks5625316286:64620.446
    12Chicago Bulls5924356832:71060.407
    13Washington Wizards5716416397:69970.281
    14Brooklyn Nets5715426094:65460.263
    15Indiana Pacers5915446580:70350.254

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )