Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
111:136
23/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Top Event
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
95101
Field goals made
3848
Field goals %
40%47.52%
2-point field goals attempts
4358
2-point field goals made
2233
2-point field goals %
51.16%56.9%
3-point field goals attempts
5243
3-point field goals made
1615
3-point field goals %
30.77%34.88%
Free throws attempts
2028
Free throws made
1925
Free throws %
95%89.3%
Offensive rebounds
717
Defensive rebounds
3145
Total rebounds
3862
Assists
2933
Blocks
89
Turnovers
1215
Steals
117
Personal fouls
1918
Technical fouls
10

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
40.1%
San Antonio Spurs
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 67.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.
  • San Antonio Spurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Antonio Spurs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio Spurs than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Antonio Spurs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.93)

    1.61
    (1.4)
    3.8%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 245.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). San Antonio will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Antonio: 52.1%90.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 237.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Antonio Spurs will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 121:125.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • San Antonio is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
    • Miami is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Antonio is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • San Antonio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • San Antonio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Hip Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended) Wiggins A. (Toe Injury)
    • There will not play in San Antonio: Castle S. (Eye injury) Vassell D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Powell N. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that San Antonio will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2205:2096. (average 110.3:104.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1126:1053. (average 112.6:105.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs were as follows:
    30.10.2025 San Antonio Spurs - Miami Heat 107:101
    08.10.2025 Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs 107:112
    05.07.2025 Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs 82:69
    01.02.2025 San Antonio Spurs - Miami Heat 103:105
    19.01.2025 Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs 128:107
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    21.03.2026 Houston Rockets - Miami Heat 123:122
    19.03.2026 Miami Heat - Los Angeles Lakers 126:134
    17.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 136:106
    14.03.2026 Miami Heat - Orlando Magic 117:121
    12.03.2026 Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks 112:105
    Latest results of San Antonio Spurs
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )