Loudoun United vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Loudoun United - Miami
Result
3:1
30/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Koroleva K. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.83
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (399/460)82% (356/435)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.570.74
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
818
Passes
87% (399/460)82% (356/435)
Long passes
59% (33/56)49% (38/78)
Passes in final third
75% (100/134)74% (79/107)
Crosses
28% (5/18)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
2.300.93
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
198
Tackles
86% (12/14)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4046
Clearances
1919
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.742.57
Goals prevented
-0.260.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Romero M. 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ricketts J. (Own goal),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. , Gavilanes A. (A),
  • 27', Ricketts J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Ordonez A. , Mines B. (A),
  • 56', Skundrich D. 🟨,
  • 58', Mines B. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 64', Melano L. , Zarate T. ,
  • 64', Knutson D. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 67', Santos P. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 74', Gavilanes A. , Hoyos K. ,
  • 79', Mercado Carrizo D. A. , Veron D. ,
  • 80', Ordonez A. , Bidois R. ,
  • 84', Fauroux H. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Ryan Z. , Glasgow O. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
56.2%
Draw
22.7%
Miami
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 21% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 15% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loudoun United's form might have worsened.
  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loudoun United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Loudoun United - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.5)
    4.09
    (4.4)
    4.41
    (5.31)
    7.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Loudoun is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 2:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Miami were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1
    03.08.2024 Loudoun United - Miami 4:1
    22.06.2024 Miami - Loudoun United 2:2
    29.07.2023 Loudoun United - Miami 1:2
    17.06.2023 Miami - Loudoun United 1:2
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    Latest results of Miami
    23.08.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 3:2
    16.08.2025 Miami - Louisville City 2:4
    09.08.2025 Miami - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    06.08.2025 Hartford Athletic - Miami 2:0
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico261241036:34240
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso2699842:38436
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising26712745:47-233
    9Orange County SC25861138:41-330
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )