Loudoun United vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Loudoun United - Miami
Result
3:1
30/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Koroleva K. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.83
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (399/460)82% (356/435)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.570.74
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
818
Passes
87% (399/460)82% (356/435)
Long passes
59% (33/56)49% (38/78)
Passes in final third
75% (100/134)74% (79/107)
Crosses
28% (5/18)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
2.300.93
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
198
Tackles
86% (12/14)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4046
Clearances
1919
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.742.57
Goals prevented
-0.260.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Romero M. 🟨,
  • 6', 1 - 0, Ricketts J. (Own goal),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. , Gavilanes A. (A),
  • 27', Ricketts J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Ordonez A. , Mines B. (A),
  • 56', Skundrich D. 🟨,
  • 58', Mines B. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 64', Melano L. , Zarate T. ,
  • 64', Knutson D. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 67', Santos P. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 74', Gavilanes A. , Hoyos K. ,
  • 79', Mercado Carrizo D. A. , Veron D. ,
  • 80', Ordonez A. , Bidois R. ,
  • 84', Fauroux H. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Ryan Z. , Glasgow O. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
56.2%
Draw
22.7%
Miami
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 21% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 15% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loudoun United's form might have worsened.
  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loudoun United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Loudoun United - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.5)
    4.09
    (4.4)
    4.41
    (5.31)
    7.6%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Loudoun is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 2:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Miami were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Miami - Loudoun United 2:1
    03.08.2024 Loudoun United - Miami 4:1
    22.06.2024 Miami - Loudoun United 2:2
    29.07.2023 Loudoun United - Miami 1:2
    17.06.2023 Miami - Loudoun United 1:2
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    Latest results of Miami
    23.08.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 3:2
    16.08.2025 Miami - Louisville City 2:4
    09.08.2025 Miami - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    06.08.2025 Hartford Athletic - Miami 2:0
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 30227156:193773
    2Charleston ✔ 30195662:323062
    3North Carolina ✔ 301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic ✔ 301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh ✔ 301281032:28444
    6Loudoun ✔ 301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 30169550:302057
    2New Mexico ✔ 301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )