Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Kaleia M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network Florida |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (212/297) | 83% (379/458) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (212/297) | 83% (379/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 57% (37/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/90) | 64% (79/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Melano L. (A),
- 11', Nyeman M. 🟨,
- 19', Vazquez C. 🟨,
- 25', Blanco S. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
- 34', 2 - 1, Melano L. ⚽, Blanco S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Melano L. 🟨,
- 58', Ryan Z. ↓, Skundrich D. ↑,
- 58', Turner C. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
- 64', Blanco S. ↓, Celeste F. ↑,
- 67', Leggett W. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 74', Vazquez C. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
- 74', Melano L. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
- 79', Ricketts J. 🟨,
- 79', Aboukoura A. 🟨,
- 80', Mines B. ↓, Pendleton E. ↑,
- 81', Awuah K. ↓, Hurge A. ↑,
- 82', Celeste F. (Pen),
- 86', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
- 90+1', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Veron D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Zarate T. 🟨,
- 90+9', Zarate T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Miami
25.5% | Draw
24.4% | Loudoun United
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loudoun United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loudoun United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Miami - Loudoun United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(3.16) |
3.78 ↑
(3.58) |
1.84 ↓
(2.06) |
8.4%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
- Loudoun could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Miami won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Loudoun United?
Miami has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Miami?
Loudoun United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Loudoun United were as follows:
03.08.2024
Loudoun United
-
Miami
4:1
22.06.2024
Miami
-
Loudoun United
2:2
29.07.2023
Loudoun United
-
Miami
1:2
17.06.2023
Miami
-
Loudoun United
1:2
Latest results of Loudoun United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
