Result
3:1
30/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Koroleva K. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (399/460) | 82% (356/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (399/460) | 82% (356/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 49% (38/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (100/134) | 74% (79/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Romero M. 🟨,
- 6', 1 - 0, Ricketts J. (Own goal),
- 25', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Gavilanes A. (A),
- 27', Ricketts J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 1, Ordonez A. ⚽, Mines B. (A),
- 56', Skundrich D. 🟨,
- 58', Mines B. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
- 64', Melano L. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
- 64', Knutson D. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
- 67', Santos P. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
- 74', Gavilanes A. ↓, Hoyos K. ↑,
- 79', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
- 80', Ordonez A. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
- 84', Fauroux H. 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 1, Ryan Z. ⚽, Glasgow O. (A),
Chances of winning
Loudoun United
56.2% | Draw
22.7% | Miami
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Loudoun United's form might have worsened.Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loudoun United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Loudoun United - Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.5) |
4.09 ↓
(4.4) |
4.41 ↓
(5.31) |
7.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Loudoun is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 2:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Miami?
Loudoun United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Loudoun United?
Miami has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Miami were as follows:
17.05.2025
Miami
-
Loudoun United
2:1
03.08.2024
Loudoun United
-
Miami
4:1
22.06.2024
Miami
-
Loudoun United
2:2
29.07.2023
Loudoun United
-
Miami
1:2
17.06.2023
Miami
-
Loudoun United
1:2
Latest results of Loudoun United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
