Result
2:4
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network Florida |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (337/435) | 63% (129/206) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 3.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (337/435) | 63% (129/206) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (32/82) | 29% (18/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (54/100) | 51% (38/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.19 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽,
- 16', Adams K. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 1, Melano L. ⚽, Vazquez C. (A),
- 23', 1 - 2, Goodrum P. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
- 25', 2 - 2, Knutson D. ⚽,
- 39', Lambert K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Totsch S. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
- 46', Lambert K. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 3, McFadden A. ⚽, Davila E. (A),
- 71', Zarate T. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
- 76', Cardona N. ↓, Celeste F. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 4, Wilson J. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
- 83', Serrano R. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
- 83', Goodrum P. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
- 83', Vazquez C. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
- 83', Melano L. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
- 90', Davila T. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Miami
18.9% | Draw
23% | Louisville City
58.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Miami - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.87 ↓
(4.91) |
4 ↓
(4.1) |
1.59 ↑
(1.58) |
8.6%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
- Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Louisville City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Louisville City is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Louisville City?
Miami has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Miami?
Louisville City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Louisville City were as follows:
02.10.2024
Louisville City
-
Miami
3:0
01.06.2024
Miami
-
Louisville City
1:2
20.09.2023
Miami
-
Louisville City
4:3
13.05.2023
Louisville City
-
Miami
3:1
27.08.2022
Miami
-
Louisville City
1:0
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
