Miami vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Miami - Louisville City
Result
2:4
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Albuquerque R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network Florida
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.64
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
77% (337/435)63% (129/206)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.353.19
Total shots
128
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
127
Passes
77% (337/435)63% (129/206)
Long passes
39% (32/82)29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
54% (54/100)51% (38/75)
Crosses
37% (7/19)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.26
Throw-ins
2427
Fouls
912
Tackles
85% (11/13)86% (12/14)
Duels won
5950
Clearances
1828
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
3.191.35
Goals prevented
-0.81-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽,
  • 16', Adams K. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Melano L. ⚽, Vazquez C. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 2, Goodrum P. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
  • 25', 2 - 2, Knutson D. ⚽,
  • 39', Lambert K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Totsch S. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
  • 46', Lambert K. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
  • 63', 2 - 3, McFadden A. ⚽, Davila E. (A),
  • 71', Zarate T. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
  • 76', Cardona N. ↓, Celeste F. ↑,
  • 80', 2 - 4, Wilson J. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
  • 83', Serrano R. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
  • 83', Goodrum P. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
  • 83', Vazquez C. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
  • 83', Melano L. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
  • 90', Davila T. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
18.9%		Draw
23%		Louisville City
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.8% 22.6% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1% 21.8% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
    •

    Miami - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.87 ↓
    (4.91)    		 4 ↓
    (4.1)    		 1.59 ↑
    (1.58)    		 8.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
    • Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Louisville City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Louisville City is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Louisville City were as follows:
    02.10.2024 Louisville City - Miami 3:0
    01.06.2024 Miami - Louisville City 1:2
    20.09.2023 Miami - Louisville City 4:3
    13.05.2023 Louisville City - Miami 3:1
    27.08.2022 Miami - Louisville City 1:0
    Latest results of Miami
    09.08.2025 Miami - El Paso Locomotive 0:0
    06.08.2025 Hartford Athletic - Miami 2:0
    29.07.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Miami 1:1 ✺
    26.07.2025 Miami - South Georgia Tormenta 1:2
    19.07.2025 Charleston Battery - Miami 3:0
    Latest results of Louisville City
    09.08.2025 Louisville City - Charleston Battery 4:1
    02.08.2025 Louisville City - North Carolina 4:1
    29.07.2025 Louisville City - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:5
    26.07.2025 Lexington - Louisville City 1:2
    19.07.2025 Louisville City - Tulsa 1:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
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