Louisville City vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Louisville City - Miami
Result
1:0
11/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Hadzic A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.41
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
78% (295/376)78% (349/446)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.300.22
Total shots
139
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1914
Passes
78% (295/376)78% (349/446)
Long passes
52% (30/58)39% (30/76)
Passes in final third
71% (96/136)56% (50/90)
Crosses
20% (6/30)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.31
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
1419
Tackles
54% (7/13)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5250
Clearances
1325
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.220.30
Goals prevented
0.22-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Zarate T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Wilson J. , Ownby B. ,
  • 61', Perez A. , Serrano R. ,
  • 62', Goodrum P. , Lancaster C. ,
  • 62', Vazquez C. , Gavilanes A. ,
  • 69', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
  • 72', Adams K. 🟨,
  • 76', Zarate T. , Bent B. ,
  • 78', Dia A. , Dayes B. ,
  • 84', Blanco S. , Celeste F. ,
  • 86', Davila T. , McCabe N. ,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Ownby B. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Louisville City
69.5%
Draw
18.1%
Miami
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 17% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76% 15.7% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisville City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Louisville City - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.32)
    5.14
    (5.45)
    7.51
    (7.3)
    7.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
    • Louisville City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Miami has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Louisville City is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Miami were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Miami - Louisville City 2:4
    02.10.2024 Louisville City - Miami 3:0
    01.06.2024 Miami - Louisville City 1:2
    20.09.2023 Miami - Louisville City 4:3
    13.05.2023 Louisville City - Miami 3:1
    Latest results of Louisville City
    Latest results of Miami
    26.09.2025 North Carolina - Miami 1:0
    19.09.2025 Miami - Rhode Island 0:1
    13.09.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Miami 0:0
    06.09.2025 Miami - Hartford Athletic 0:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 30227156:193773
    2Charleston ✔ 30195662:323062
    3North Carolina ✔ 301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic ✔ 301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh ✔ 301281032:28444
    6Loudoun ✔ 301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 30169550:302057
    2New Mexico ✔ 301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )