Middlesbrough vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough).

Championship - Round 26
Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.55	1.11
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
22	16
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
11	5
Passes
86% (410/474)	82% (315/384)
Yellow Cards
0	5
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
2.61	0.44
Total shots
22	16
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
9	7
Blocked Shots
8	5
Shots inside the Box
15	11
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
11	5
Touches in opposition box
41	28
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
12	7
Passes
86% (410/474)	82% (315/384)
Long passes
28% (8/29)	45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
84% (143/171)	70% (76/109)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.23	0.87
Throw-ins
16	14
Fouls
7	12
Tackles
83% (10/12)	74% (23/31)
Duels won
50	54
Clearances
19	33
Interceptions
5	14
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.44	2.61
Goals prevented
0.44	-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Bangura A. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Whittaker M. ⚽, Targett M. (A),
61', Jander C. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Silvera S. ⚽, Ayling L. (A),
64', Manning R. 🟨,
66', 3 - 0, Whittaker M. ⚽,
68', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
68', Bragg C. 🟨,
74', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
74', Fellows T. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
74', Armstrong A. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Browne A. ⚽,
81', Quarshie J. 🟨,
81', Burgzorg D. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
84', 🟨,
85', Quarshie J. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
90', Hackney H. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
90', Whittaker M. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Middlesbrough
43.4%

Draw
25.5%

Southampton
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.4%

31.6%

Middlesbrough - Southampton Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.31)	3.71 ↑ (3.51)	3.06 ↑ (2.94)	5.4% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Southampton?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 18 - 75%). S`hampton will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Middlesbrough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Downs D. (Knock) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Knee Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury) Jones A. (Injury) McGree R. (Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Southampton?

Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Middlesbrough?

Southampton has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Southampton were as follows:

27.09.2025 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1

29.03.2024 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1

23.09.2023 Middlesbrough - Southampton 2:1

Latest results of Middlesbrough

01.01.2026 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Hull City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers 0:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Bristol City - Middlesbrough 2:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Southampton

01.01.2026 Southampton - Millwall 0:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Birmingham City - Southampton 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Oxford United - Southampton 2:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Southampton - Coventry City 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Norwich City - Southampton 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One