Result
4:0
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 26
- Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (410/474) | 82% (315/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (410/474) | 82% (315/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (143/171) | 70% (76/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 74% (23/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Bangura A. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Whittaker M. ⚽, Targett M. (A),
- 61', Jander C. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Silvera S. ⚽, Ayling L. (A),
- 64', Manning R. 🟨,
- 66', 3 - 0, Whittaker M. ⚽,
- 68', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
- 68', Bragg C. 🟨,
- 74', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
- 74', Fellows T. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
- 74', Armstrong A. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 0, Browne A. ⚽,
- 81', Quarshie J. 🟨,
- 81', Burgzorg D. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', Quarshie J. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 90', Hackney H. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
- 90', Whittaker M. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough 43.4% | Draw 25.5% | Southampton 31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Middlesbrough - Southampton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↓ (2.31) |
3.71 ↑ (3.51) |
3.06 ↑ (2.94) |
5.4% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Southampton?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 18 - 75%). S`hampton will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 57.7% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Middlesbrough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Downs D.
(Knock)
Edozie S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Knee Injury)
Stewart R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G.
(Injury)
Jones A.
(Injury)
McGree R.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Southampton?
Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Middlesbrough?
Southampton has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Southampton were as follows:
27.09.2025
Southampton
-
Middlesbrough
1:1
29.03.2024
Southampton
-
Middlesbrough
1:1
23.09.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Southampton
2:1
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Southampton
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 61:31 | 30 | 58 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 52 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 47:24 | 23 | 50 |
| 4 | Hull | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Millwall | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 32:35 | -3 | 46 |
| 6 | Preston | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 36:29 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Watford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Stoke | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 41 |
| 10 | Derby | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:31 | 7 | 40 |
| 12 | QPR | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 38 |
| 14 | Leicester | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Southampton | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 40:40 | 0 | 36 |
| 16 | Swansea | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 36:40 | -4 | 32 |
| 18 | Charlton | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 | West Brom | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 20 | Norwich | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 35:40 | -5 | 30 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 29 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 28 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:54 | -36 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One