Result
4:0
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 26
- Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (410/474) | 82% (315/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (410/474) | 82% (315/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (143/171) | 70% (76/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 74% (23/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Bangura A. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Whittaker M. ⚽, Targett M. (A),
- 61', Jander C. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 0, Silvera S. ⚽, Ayling L. (A),
- 64', Manning R. 🟨,
- 66', 3 - 0, Whittaker M. ⚽,
- 68', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
- 68', Bragg C. 🟨,
- 74', Manning R. ↓, Welington ↑,
- 74', Fellows T. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
- 74', Armstrong A. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 0, Browne A. ⚽,
- 81', Quarshie J. 🟨,
- 81', Burgzorg D. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', Quarshie J. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 90', Hackney H. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
- 90', Whittaker M. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
43.4% | Draw
25.5% | Southampton
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Middlesbrough - Southampton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.31) |
3.71 ↑
(3.51) |
3.06 ↑
(2.94) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Southampton?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 18 - 75%). S`hampton will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 57.7% – 92.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Middlesbrough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Downs D.
(Knock)
Edozie S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Knee Injury)
Stewart R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G.
(Injury)
Jones A.
(Injury)
McGree R.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Southampton?
Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Middlesbrough?
Southampton has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Southampton were as follows:
27.09.2025
Southampton
-
Middlesbrough
1:1
29.03.2024
Southampton
-
Middlesbrough
1:1
23.09.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Southampton
2:1
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Southampton
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
