Southampton vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Southampton - Middlesbrough
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 7
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.31
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
88% (446/508)86% (354/413)
Yellow Cards
26
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.52
Total shots
147
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
88% (446/508)86% (354/413)
Long passes
39% (15/38)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
63% (62/98)71% (77/108)
Crosses
21% (3/14)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.61
Throw-ins
1319
Fouls
1117
Tackles
58% (14/24)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5841
Clearances
2723
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.520.64
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Jones A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Conway T. 🟨,
  • 51', Strelec D. 🟨,
  • 51', Quarshie J. 🟨,
  • 54', Armstrong A. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Armstrong A. ,
  • 62', Whittaker M. , Nypan S. ,
  • 63', Brittain C. , Browne A. ,
  • 65', Azaz F. , Scienza L. ,
  • 71', Fellows T. , Fraser R. ,
  • 72', Morris A. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 72', Conway T. , Hansen S. ,
  • 72', Strelec D. , Sene M. K. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Sene M. K. , Ayling L. (A),
  • 86', Stewart R. , Robinson J. ,
  • 86', Manning R. , Jelert E. ,
  • 87', Hackney H. 🟨,
  • 90', Targett M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Nypan S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Southampton
42.6%
Draw
27.2%
Middlesbrough
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 25.9% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 27.5% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Southampton - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.15)
    3.5
    (3.65)
    3.17
    (3.15)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Southampton - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Recent performances by S`hampton have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Middlesbrough is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • S`hampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, S`hampton has had a series of away games.
    • S`hampton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Welington (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Inactive) McGree R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive) Jander C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    29.03.2024 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1
    23.09.2023 Middlesbrough - Southampton 2:1
    Latest results of Southampton
    23.09.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 2:1
    20.09.2025 Hull City - Southampton 3:1
    14.09.2025 Southampton - Portsmouth 0:0
    30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2
    26.08.2025 Norwich City - Southampton 0:3
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One