Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 7
- Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (446/508) | 86% (354/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (446/508) | 86% (354/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (15/38) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/98) | 71% (77/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Jones A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Conway T. 🟨,
- 51', Strelec D. 🟨,
- 51', Quarshie J. 🟨,
- 54', Armstrong A. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 0, Armstrong A. ⚽,
- 62', Whittaker M. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
- 63', Brittain C. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
- 65', Azaz F. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
- 71', Fellows T. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
- 72', Morris A. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
- 72', Conway T. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
- 72', Strelec D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Sene M. K. ⚽, Ayling L. (A),
- 86', Stewart R. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
- 86', Manning R. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
- 87', Hackney H. 🟨,
- 90', Targett M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Nypan S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Southampton
42.6% | Draw
27.2% | Middlesbrough
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Southampton - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.15) |
3.5 ↓
(3.65) |
3.17 ↑
(3.15) |
4.9%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Southampton - Middlesbrough?
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Recent performances by S`hampton have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Middlesbrough is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- S`hampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, S`hampton has had a series of away games.
- S`hampton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in S`hampton: Welington
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Inactive)
McGree R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S.
(Inactive)
Jander C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Middlesbrough?
Southampton has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Southampton?
Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Middlesbrough were as follows:
29.03.2024
Southampton
-
Middlesbrough
1:1
23.09.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Southampton
2:1
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
