Milan vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Milan - Fiorentina
19/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 7
  • Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Disney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Chances of winning


Milan
60.6%
Draw
23.2%
Fiorentina
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 22% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 20.9% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Milan - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.51)
    4.2
    (4.32)
    6.16
    (6.32)
    2.8%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Milan - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 49.8%83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
    • Milan has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fiorentina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Milan will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Fiorentina were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2
    06.10.2024 Fiorentina - Milan 2:1
    30.03.2024 Fiorentina - Milan 1:2
    25.11.2023 Milan - Fiorentina 1:0
    04.03.2023 Fiorentina - Milan 2:1
    Latest results of Milan
    05.10.2025 Juventus - Milan 0:0
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1
    23.09.2025 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    20.09.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:3
    14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    05.10.2025 Fiorentina - Roma 1:2
    02.10.2025 Fiorentina - Sigma Olomouc 2:0
    28.09.2025 Pisa - Fiorentina 0:0
    21.09.2025 Fiorentina - Como 1:2
    13.09.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 1:3
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AS Roma65017:2515
    2Napoli750212:7515
    3AC Milan64119:3613
    4Inter640217:8912
    5Juventus63309:5412
    6Atalanta624011:5610
    7Bologna63129:5410
    8Sassuolo73138:8010
    9Como62317:529
    10Cremonese62317:8-19
    11Cagliari62226:608
    12Udinese62226:9-38
    13Torino72236:13-78
    14Lazio621310:737
    15Lecce71335:10-56
    16Parma61233:7-45
    17Verona70432:9-74
    18Fiorentina60334:8-43
    19Pisa70343:10-73
    20Genoa60243:9-62

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B