Result
19/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 7
- Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1 |
Kuwait | Shasha |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Chances of winning
Milan 60.6% | Draw 23.2% | Fiorentina 16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Milan - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↑ (1.51) |
4.2 ↓ (4.32) |
6.16 ↓ (6.32) |
2.8% (5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milan - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 49.8% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
- Milan has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fiorentina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Milan is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Milan will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Fiorentina?
Milan has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Milan?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Fiorentina were as follows:
05.04.2025
Milan
-
Fiorentina
2:2
06.10.2024
Fiorentina
-
Milan
2:1
30.03.2024
Fiorentina
-
Milan
1:2
25.11.2023
Milan
-
Fiorentina
1:0
04.03.2023
Fiorentina
-
Milan
2:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
2 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 15 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
14 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
15 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
16 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 3 |
20 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B