Fiorentina vs Milan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 20
  • Referee: Massa D. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Disney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaANTV, Vidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 3
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.481.81
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
73
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
85
Passes
89% (385/431)86% (347/403)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.481.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.940.93
Total shots
2013
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
67
Blocked shots
73
Shots inside the box
169
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3223
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1410
Passes
89% (385/431)86% (347/403)
Long passes
51% (22/43)57% (20/35)
Passes in final third
88% (103/117)80% (86/108)
Crosses
19% (6/32)47% (9/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.22
Throw ins
1011
Fouls
1014
Tackles
70% (7/10)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4539
Clearances
1421
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.931.94
Goals prevented
-0.070.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Vanoli P. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Vanoli P. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Estupinan P. 🟨,
  • 60', Estupinan P. , Bartesaghi D. ,
  • 60', Fullkrug N. , Leao R. ,
  • 60', Jashari A. , Rabiot A. ,
  • 63', Loftus-Cheek R. , Fofana Y. ,
  • 65', Mandragora R. , Brescianini M. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Comuzzo P. , Gudmundsson A. (A),
  • 74', Pavlovic S. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 80', Fagioli N. 🟨,
  • 82', Gudmundsson A. , Solomon M. ,
  • 83', Parisi F. , Fortini N. ,
  • 83', Gosens R. , Ranieri L. ,
  • 84', Rabiot A. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Nkunku C. , Fofana Y. (A),
  • 90+1', Ndour C. , Sohm S. ,
  • 90+4', Fofana Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
27.4%
Draw
28.4%
Milan
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 27.2% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 26.6% 51.6%

Fiorentina - Milan Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.48
(4.23)
3.37
(3.47)
2.16
(1.87)
4.8%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 5 - 8.3%). Milan will win (votes: 45 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 64%86%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Fiorentina (1.64) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Milan (2.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Fiorentina (1.36) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Fiorentina (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 12.1%). Milan (votes: 26 - 78.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Milan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Milan might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury) Tomori F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Dzeko E. (Foot Injury) Richardson A. (Inactive) Viti M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Nkunku C. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Milan were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:1
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2
    06.10.2024 Fiorentina - Milan 2:1
    30.03.2024 Fiorentina - Milan 1:2
    25.11.2023 Milan - Fiorentina 1:0
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    07.01.2026 Lazio - Fiorentina 2:2
    04.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cremonese 1:0
    27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0
    21.12.2025 Fiorentina - Udinese 5:1
    Latest results of Milan
    08.01.2026 Milan - Genoa 1:1
    02.01.2026 Cagliari - Milan 0:1
    28.12.2025 Milan - Verona 3:0
    18.12.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:0
    14.12.2025 Milan - Sassuolo 2:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter23181452:193355
    2AC Milan22138135:171847
    3Napoli23144533:211246
    4Juventus23136439:182145
    5AS Roma23141827:141343
    6Como23118437:162141
    7Atalanta2399530:201036
    8Lazio2388724:21332
    9Udinese2395926:34-832
    10Bologna2286832:27530
    11Sassuolo23851027:29-229
    12Cagliari2377928:31-328
    13Torino23751122:40-1826
    14Genoa23581027:34-723
    15Cremonese23581020:31-1123
    16Parma23581015:30-1523
    17Lecce23461313:30-1718
    18Fiorentina23381225:36-1117
    19Pisa231111119:40-2114
    20Verona23281318:41-2314

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B