Result
2:2
05/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 31
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | TLN, VIVA |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Israel | ONE Sport 2, Sport 1 |
Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football, Setanta Sports |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-africa | SuperSport Football |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN South |
South-korea | SPOTV Prime 2 |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2, Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 3 |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.67 | 1.96 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
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87% (353/407) | 88% (327/371) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.67 | 1.96 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.07 | 2.89 |
Total shots |
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19 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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8 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 30 |
Through passes |
---|
75% (3/4) | 100% (1/1) |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 12 |
Passes |
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87% (353/407) | 88% (327/371) |
Long passes |
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48% (15/31) | 64% (30/47) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (74/105) | 71% (61/86) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (3/11) | 55% (6/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.35 | 1.29 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
43% (6/14) | 41% (7/17) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 39 |
Clearances Total |
---|
15 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.89 | 2.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.89 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Thiaw M. (Own goal),
- 10', 0 - 2, Kean M. ⚽, Dodo (A),
- 23', 1 - 2, Abraham T. ⚽, Pulisic C. (A),
- 23', Musah Y. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
- 31', Mari P. 🟨,
- 41', Dodo 🟨,
- 41', Hernandez T. 🟨,
- 45+4', Walker K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Abraham T. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
- 58', Leao R. 🟨,
- 58', Pulisic C. 🟨,
- 59', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
- 59', Cataldi D. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 2, Jovic L. ⚽, Fofana Y. (A),
- 66', de Gea D. 🟨,
- 72', Pongracic M. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
- 72', Parisi F. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
- 80', Fofana Y. ↓, Bondo W. ↑,
- 80', Pulisic C. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
- 80', Gimenez S. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
- 88', Mandragora R. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Palladino R. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Milan 50.5% | Draw 26.5% | Fiorentina 23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Milan - Fiorentina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↑ (1.78) |
3.63 ↓ (3.98) |
4.13 ↓ (4.54) |
4.5% (3.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milan - Fiorentina?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 21 - 72.4%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 56.1% – 88.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Milan (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Milan is a favorite.
- There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal
(Calf Injury)
Jimenez A.
(Yellow Cards)
Loftus-Cheek R.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Colpani A.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Milan: Reijnders T.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Fiorentina: Gosens R.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Milan won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 30:24 (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:7 (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Fiorentina?
Milan has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Milan?
Fiorentina has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Fiorentina were as follows:
06.10.2024
Fiorentina
-
Milan
2:1
30.03.2024
Fiorentina
-
Milan
1:2
25.11.2023
Milan
-
Fiorentina
1:0
04.03.2023
Fiorentina
-
Milan
2:1
13.11.2022
Milan
-
Fiorentina
2:1
Latest results of Fiorentina
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B