Result
3:2
15/10/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Zemanate C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (181/247) | 74% (226/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (181/247) | 74% (226/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 33% (11/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (47/80) | 57% (53/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Castro L. ⚽, Palacios H. (A),
- 16', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
- 21', Banguero D. 🟨,
- 26', Moreno Paz A. F. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Cabrera Y. (Pen),
- 37', Kelvin Osorio 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Torres G. ⚽, Velasco E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 66', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 69', Torres G. 🟨,
- 71', Ararat J. ↓, Pacheco W. ↑,
- 71', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Bermudez Correa J. A. ↑,
- 73', Castro L. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 73', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
- 74', Hurtado J. 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 1, Quintero D. ⚽, Velasco E. (A),
- 78', Castro A. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 79', Palacios H. 🟨,
- 84', Quintero D. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
- 90', Cabrera Y. ↓, Acosta S. ↑,
- 90', Largacha J. ↓, Estacio A. ↑,
- 90+2', Bermudez Correa J. A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Giordana S. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ysustfhh
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pereira
28.3% | Draw
31% | Millonarios
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(2.3) |
3.19 ↑
(3.07) |
2.37 ↓
(3.23) |
1.1%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Millonarios will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 0.
- Pereira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Millonarios has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pereira won against Millonarios?
Deportivo Pereira has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Deportivo Pereira?
Millonarios has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pereira - Millonarios were as follows:
08.05.2025
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Pereira
0:0
10.11.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Pereira
0:0
25.05.2024
Deportivo Pereira
-
Millonarios
2:2
11.05.2024
Millonarios
-
Deportivo Pereira
1:0
20.04.2024
Deportivo Pereira
-
Millonarios
1:2
Latest results of Deportivo Pereira
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
