Result
1:1
07/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/329) | 78% (305/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (258/329) | 78% (305/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 58% (40/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (61/90) | 64% (91/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 14', Diaz Samuel M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
- 46', Berrio F. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Diaz L. ⚽, Garces J. (A),
- 55', Gamboa Valencia J. J. 🟨,
- 60', Giordana S. ↓, Carvajal J. ↑,
- 64', Vega S. 🟨,
- 67', Vega S. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
- 68', Sanchez N. 🟨,
- 70', Mosquera E. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
- 73', Dawson D. 🟨,
- 76', Dawson D. ↓, Marulanda M. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Carvajal J. ⚽,
- 80', Palacio J. ↓, Hinestroza J. ↑,
- 80', Garces J. ↓, Hurtado W. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/y73emep8
Chances of winning
Envigado
20% | Draw
27.6% | Millonarios
52.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+0.8%)The ML Model estimate for Millonarios aligns with the current prediction.
Envigado - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.62 ↑
(4.29) |
3.38 ↑
(3.3) |
1.8 ↓
(1.82) |
6.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Envigado - Millonarios?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Millonarios (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Envigado has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Millonarios is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Envigado won against Millonarios?
Envigado has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Envigado?
Millonarios has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Millonarios were as follows:
16.09.2025
Millonarios
-
Envigado
0:0
03.09.2025
Envigado
-
Millonarios
1:0
16.05.2025
Millonarios
-
Envigado
1:0
28.09.2024
Millonarios
-
Envigado
3:0
17.03.2024
Envigado
-
Millonarios
1:1
Latest results of Envigado
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Alianza | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
